Italy - Serie BStadio Alberto BragliaData current as of 08 October 2026

Modena vs Hellas Verona: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Modena vs Hellas Verona: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Modena play Hellas Verona in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia.

Current form

Modena: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Hellas Verona: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Modena scores 1.60 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Hellas Verona scores 2.00 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Modena 60%, Hellas Verona 80%. Over 2.5: Modena 60%, Hellas Verona 80%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Modena has higher xG: 2.18 vs 1.75. Modena: 21.2 shots per match, Hellas Verona: 16.2.

Match halves

Modena: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20. Hellas Verona: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.60.

Goals by minute

Modena: 61-75 (3 goals). Hellas Verona: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.06)
(3.30)
(3.55)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match2
ModenaHellas Verona
0.8Goals conceded / match1.4
ModenaHellas Verona
54%Average possession58%
ModenaHellas Verona
6.6Shots on target / match5.6
ModenaHellas Verona

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

21.2Shots per match16.2
ModenaHellas Verona
6.6Shots on target5.6
ModenaHellas Verona
7.5%Shot conversion12.3%
ModenaHellas Verona
54%Possession58%
ModenaHellas Verona
2.18xG for1.75
ModenaHellas Verona
1.05xG against0.95
ModenaHellas Verona

Shooting quality

Modena: AttackingHellas Verona: Dominant
ModenaHellas Verona
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Modena is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Modena · 1.4 pts / match - Hellas Verona

Modena
WWLDW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.18Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Hellas Verona
LDWLW
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hellas Verona is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Modena · 2 goals / match - Hellas Verona

Modena is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Modena · 1.4 goals / match - Hellas Verona

Modena scoring profile: very strong

Modena scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Hellas Verona keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Hellas Verona scoring profile: very strong

Hellas Verona scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

8Goals scored (season)10
ModenaHellas Verona
4Goals conceded (season)7
ModenaHellas Verona
2.4Average goals in match3.4
ModenaHellas Verona
8Goals scored (last 5)10
ModenaHellas Verona
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
ModenaHellas Verona

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal100%
ModenaHellas Verona
60%2 goals40%
ModenaHellas Verona
20%3 goals20%
ModenaHellas Verona
0%4 goals20%
ModenaHellas Verona

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
ModenaHellas Verona
0%2 goals40%
ModenaHellas Verona
0%3 goals20%
ModenaHellas Verona
0%4 goals0%
ModenaHellas Verona

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
ModenaHellas Verona
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ModenaHellas Verona
20%Scored in both halves0%
ModenaHellas Verona

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
ModenaHellas Verona
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
ModenaHellas Verona
60%BTTS - last 580%
ModenaHellas Verona

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
ModenaHellas Verona
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
ModenaHellas Verona
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ModenaHellas Verona

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
ModenaHellas Verona
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
ModenaHellas Verona
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
ModenaHellas Verona

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hellas Verona is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.6 pts / match - Modena · 1.2 pts / match - Hellas Verona

Modena - half-time state
20% leading0% draw80% trailing
Hellas Verona - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.6Points per match (1st half)1.2
ModenaHellas Verona
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.4
ModenaHellas Verona
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
ModenaHellas Verona
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.8
ModenaHellas Verona
20%Clean sheet before half-time60%
ModenaHellas Verona
80%No goal before half-time60%
ModenaHellas Verona

After half-time (2nd half)

2.6Points per match (2nd half)1.8
ModenaHellas Verona
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.6
ModenaHellas Verona
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
ModenaHellas Verona
1.2Average goals (2nd half)2.6
ModenaHellas Verona
100%Clean sheet after half-time40%
ModenaHellas Verona
20%No goal after half-time40%
ModenaHellas Verona

Modena - second-half results

80% W20% D0% L
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.8

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hellas Verona - second-half results

60% W0% D40% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Modena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.60
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Hellas Verona - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.82.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Modena
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
3
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Hellas Verona
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Hellas Verona

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
164%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

ModenaLigaHellas Verona
Average goals in match▼ 2.402.64▲ 3.40
Both teams scored▼ 60%64%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 60%54%▲ 80%
Clean sheets• 20%19%• 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%64%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Modena and Hellas Verona play?

Modena face Hellas Verona on 11 October 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Alberto Braglia. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Hellas Verona?

Modena score 1.60 goals per game on average and Hellas Verona 2.00. The Serie B average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Modena's matches and 80% of Hellas Verona's.

What form are Modena and Hellas Verona in?

Over the last 5 games Modena have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hellas Verona 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Hellas Verona?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.