Modena vs Juve Stabia: match statistics
Modena vs Juve Stabia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Modena played Juve Stabia in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 12 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Modena: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Juve Stabia: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Modena scores 1.29 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Juve Stabia scores 1.16 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Modena 50%, Juve Stabia 55%. Over 2.5: Modena 50%, Juve Stabia 42%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Modena has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.31. Modena: 15.2 shots per match, Juve Stabia: 12.0.
Match halves
Modena: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.71. Juve Stabia: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Modena: 76-90+ (11 goals). Juve Stabia: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena holds a clear advantage in home metrics: wins 47% of home matches, averages 1.47 goals scored and concedes only 0.89 goals per game, with home xG of 1.60 and 42% clean sheets. Juve Stabia on the road win just 16% of away matches, draw 47%, score 1.00 goal and concede 1.58 goals on average with only 11% clean sheets, indicating a more vulnerable away defense. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 5 goals each, but Modena conceded 7 goals versus Juve’s 4, which in the short term gives Juve better results and 1.2 points per game vs 0.8 for Modena. Additionally the hosts create more chances (14.21 average shots and 4.84 shots on target at home vs 10 and 3.58 for the visitors) and have a lower percentage of matches without scoring (16% vs 32%), supporting greater attacking efficiency. Considering the xG advantage, superior home goal difference (+11) and statistically stronger home defense, I tip Modena to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a propensity for matches with goals at both ends: Modena has BTTS in 47% of games, Juve Stabia in 63%, versus a league average of 54%. Modena generates xG 1.49 per match, which exactly matches the xG conceded by Juve Stabia at 1.49, so the home side’s attack has a realistic chance to score. Juve Stabia posts xG 1.12 and averages 1.00 goal per game, but concedes 1.58 goals per game and keeps a clean sheet in only 11% of matches, increasing the likelihood that they will both score and concede. In the last 5 matches both teams had BTTS in 60%: Modena scored 5 and conceded 7 goals (1.0 and 1.4 per game), and Juve 5 and 4 (1.0 and 0.8 per game), which confirms the mutual scoring trend. Given the xG matchup (1.49 vs 1.49) and season BTTS rates of 47% and 63%, I tip BTTS - Yes and estimate its probability at 68%, with No at 32%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and goals-average model projects 1.49 goals for Modena and 1.09 for Juve Stabia, total 2.58 goals, in line with the league average of 2.56. That corresponds to approximately a 73% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), 48% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and 26% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Modena scores 1.32 goals at home on average and records an xG of 1.49, while Juve Stabia concedes 1.58 goals on average and has an xG against of 1.49 — this reinforces the home side’s expected 1.49. Additionally, the home team averages 14.0 shots with 4.32 on target versus 10.0 and 3.58 for the visitors, and Juve Stabia has just an 11% clean sheet rate, which raises the risk of conceded goals. Consequently, the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is backing the Over line at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Modena is favored to lead at the break and hold the win: the home side led at half-time in 47% of matches, scoring on average 0.68 goals before the break and conceding only 0.26, while Juve Stabia score 0.63 and concede 0.58 before half-time. The quality gap is confirmed by xG of 1.49 versus 1.12 for the visitors and lower xG against Modena (1.06) versus 1.49 for Juve Stabia; the hosts average 14 shots and 4.32 on target, the visitors 10 shots and 3.58 on target. In second halves Juve Stabia concede on average 1.00 goal versus 0.53 for Modena, and Modena earn 1.26 points after the break versus 0.63 points for the away side, suggesting the hosts’ lead is often maintained and converted into a victory. Statistically Modena win at home in 42% of matches, while Juve Stabia win away only 16%, so if Modena led at half-time (47%), in approximately 89% of those cases the lead ended in a home win (42/47 ≈ 0.89). For these reasons 1/1 (Modena leading HT and winning FT) is the strongest signal, with draw variants treated as secondary risks.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Juve Stabia is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Modena · 1.2 pts / match - Juve Stabia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Modena · 1.16 goals / match - Juve Stabia
Modena is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Modena · 1.18 goals / match - Juve Stabia
Modena scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Juve Stabia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Juve Stabia scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Juve Stabia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juve Stabia is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Modena · 1.58 pts / match - Juve Stabia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Juve Stabia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Modena
Juve Stabia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Modena 2 - 0 - 0 Juve Stabia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Juve Stabia?
The Serie B match finished Modena 0:1 Juve Stabia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Juve Stabia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 2, Juve Stabia won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Juve Stabia?
Modena score 1.29 goals per game on average and Juve Stabia 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Modena's matches and 55% of Juve Stabia's.
What form are Modena and Juve Stabia in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Juve Stabia 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Juve Stabia?
The statistical background for Modena vs Juve Stabia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.