Modena vs Mantova: match statistics
Modena vs Mantova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Modena played Mantova in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Modena: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Mantova: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Modena scores 1.89 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mantova scores 1.56 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Modena 67%, Mantova 56%. Over 2.5: Modena 78%, Mantova 44%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Modena has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.55. Modena: 19.1 shots per match, Mantova: 13.2.
Match halves
Modena: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11. Mantova: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Modena: 76-90+ (6 goals). Mantova: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Mantova have won 3 of their 4 away games, so both teams’ results point to a closely contested match. However, the quality of chances created favours the hosts: Modena average 2.74 xG at home, compared with Mantova’s 1.29 xG away, and register 7.25 shots on target against 4.75 for the visitors. Modena score 2 goals per home match, although Mantova concede just 0.75 goals away; their average of 1.53 xG conceded nonetheless suggests their defence could face a tougher test. The visitors are clinical, scoring 1.75 goals per away match, and both teams have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches. Modena’s edge in chance creation gives them a slight advantage, but Mantova’s finishing means a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams average 1.75 goals per match, and Mantova have scored in every away game they have played so far, which points to them finding the net. Modena have failed to score in 25% of their home matches, but their average xG is 1.56, compared with 1.53 xG conceded by Mantova’s defence, giving the hosts a solid case to score as well. BTTS - Yes has landed in 50% of Modena’s home matches and 75% of Mantova’s away matches, against a league average of 61%. The last five games paint a less clear picture: BTTS landed in 80% of Modena’s matches, but in only 40% of Mantova’s. The case for BTTS - Yes is therefore clear, but not overwhelming.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Modena’s matches and 75% of Mantova’s. Both teams average 1.75 goals scored, while over their last five matches Modena averaged 2.0 goals and Mantova 1.6. The hosts’ attacking potential is supported by their xG of 1.56, against 1.53 xG conceded by the visitors, making at least one Modena goal likely. Over 2.5 goals is less certain, as this line has been cleared in 50% of each team’s matches. Therefore, with a projected total of 2.87 goals, I’m backing Over 1.5, which is more clearly supported by the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mantova provides the strongest first-half signal: they led at the break in all 4 matches covered by the away statistics, scoring an average of 1.25 goals before half-time and conceding none. Modena drew at half-time in all 4 comparable home matches, but lost at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches overall, increasing the likelihood of an early away lead. Mantova could hold on to that lead, having won 3 of their 4 away matches without suffering a defeat, while Modena won 2 of their 4 home games. The main threat to the 2/2 pick is the hosts’ strong second-half performance: they score an average of 1.5 goals at home after the break, while Mantova score 0.5 after half-time. Therefore, 2/2 remains the most likely single scenario, although Modena’s advantage after the break also supports a significant probability of a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Modena is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Modena · 1.4 pts / match - Mantova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Modena · 1.56 goals / match - Mantova
Modena is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Modena · 1.11 goals / match - Mantova
Modena scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Mantova scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Mantova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mantova is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Modena · 1.78 pts / match - Mantova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Modena
Mantova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.69 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Modena 2 - 0 - 0 Mantova. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Mantova?
The Serie B match finished Modena 1:1 Mantova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Mantova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 2, Mantova won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Mantova?
Modena score 1.89 goals per game on average and Mantova 1.56. The Serie B average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Modena's matches and 56% of Mantova's.
What form are Modena and Mantova in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Mantova 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Mantova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.