Norway - EliteserienAker StadionData current as of 30 October 2026

Molde vs Aalesund: match statistics

Molde crest
Molde
1 : 2half-time 0:2
Aalesund crest
Aalesund

Molde vs Aalesund: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Molde played Aalesund in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Aker Stadion. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Molde: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Aalesund: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Molde scores 2.15 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Aalesund scores 1.55 and concedes 2.25. League average: 3.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Molde 70%, Aalesund 85%. Over 2.5: Molde 65%, Aalesund 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Molde has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.69. Molde: 15.6 shots per match, Aalesund: 15.9.

Match halves

Molde: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.10. Aalesund: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Molde: 46-60 (12 goals). Aalesund: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eliteserien: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Molde are clear favorites: they win 70% of their home matches, score an average of 2.3 goals, and lose only 20% of games. The hosts are also in excellent form, having won all of their last 5 matches, scoring an impressive 25 goals while conceding 6. Aalesund win just 11% of their away matches, concede an average of 2.11 goals, and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. Molde’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average home xG is 1.73, while Aalesund allow opponents an away xG of 2.01. The visitors have managed to score 22 goals in their last five matches, but their inconsistent form and poor defensive record away from home point to a convincing home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is clear, as BTTS occurred in 91% of Molde matches and 78% of Aalesund fixtures, compared with the league average of 57%. Molde have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match this season, while Aalesund have a 0% rate of matches without conceding, strongly supporting a goal for both sides. The hosts score an average of 2.00 goals, while the visitors average 1.00, with xG figures of 1.99 and 1.32 respectively. Both defenses also allow plenty of high-quality chances: opponents’ average xG is 1.86 for Molde and 2.01 for Aalesund. In their last five matches, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of games, but their very high average goals scored—5.0 and 4.4—continue to favor the BTTS - Yes scenario.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Molde score an average of 2.00 goals per match, while Aalesund concede 2.11, with an almost identical profile in terms of chance quality: 1.99 xG for the hosts compared with 2.01 xG allowed by the visitors. At the other end, Molde allow opponents an average of 2.36 goals, while Aalesund create chances worth 1.32 xG, giving the visitors a realistic opportunity to score. At least two goals were scored in 100% of Molde matches and 89% of Aalesund fixtures, while the league average of 3.15 goals further supports the prospect of an open game. In their last five appearances, both teams recorded 80% of matches with at least three goals, while Aalesund allowed an average of 2.11 xG. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the data for both teams clearly limits the risk of a goalless game or a match with only one goal.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Molde have the clearer attacking potential, averaging 1.99 xG compared with Aalesund’s 1.32 xG, while also recording 6.36 shots on target per match against their opponents’ 3.56. The hosts have won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 5.0 goals and taking the lead at the break in each of them. Aalesund, meanwhile, have lost 56% of their matches this season, and were trailing after half-time in 67% of games, which increases Molde’s chances of holding on to their advantage. The HT/FT scenario of Molde leading at half-time and securing a full-time victory is therefore the strongest, although Aalesund’s high average of 2.11 goals conceded also points to a realistic possibility of a higher-scoring match.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

68Possession (%)32
MoldeAalesund
16Shots12
MoldeAalesund
8Shots on target5
MoldeAalesund
2.19xG1.34
MoldeAalesund
10Corners6
MoldeAalesund
86Dangerous attacks32
MoldeAalesund
19Fouls12
MoldeAalesund
2Cards4
MoldeAalesund

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.15Goals scored / match1.55
MoldeAalesund
1.5Goals conceded / match2.25
MoldeAalesund
59%Average possession44%
MoldeAalesund
5.7Shots on target / match5.1
MoldeAalesund

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.55Shots per match15.95
MoldeAalesund
5.7Shots on target5.1
MoldeAalesund
13.8%Shot conversion9.7%
MoldeAalesund
59%Possession44%
MoldeAalesund
1.76xG for1.69
MoldeAalesund
1.37xG against1.93
MoldeAalesund

Shooting quality

Molde: DominantAalesund: Attacking
MoldeAalesund
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Molde is 140% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Molde · 1 pts / match - Aalesund

Molde
LWWWW
Season result split
55% W15% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-3-6
1.80 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.17Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Aalesund
DDLWL
Season result split
15% W45% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-9-8
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-5
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 2.01BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Molde is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

2.15 goals / match - Molde · 1.55 goals / match - Aalesund

Molde is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Molde · 2.25 goals / match - Aalesund

Molde scoring profile: very strong

Molde scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Aalesund keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).

Aalesund scoring profile: very strong

Aalesund scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).

43Goals scored (season)31
MoldeAalesund
30Goals conceded (season)45
MoldeAalesund
3.65Average goals in match3.8
MoldeAalesund
15Goals scored (last 5)10
MoldeAalesund
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
MoldeAalesund

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal90%
MoldeAalesund
55%2 goals45%
MoldeAalesund
35%3 goals10%
MoldeAalesund
25%4 goals5%
MoldeAalesund

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal95%
MoldeAalesund
50%2 goals60%
MoldeAalesund
15%3 goals30%
MoldeAalesund
5%4 goals15%
MoldeAalesund

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time45%
MoldeAalesund
10%BTTS in both halves30%
MoldeAalesund
45%Scored in both halves40%
MoldeAalesund

BTTS and goal count

65%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
MoldeAalesund
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
MoldeAalesund
80%BTTS - last 580%
MoldeAalesund

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
MoldeAalesund
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
MoldeAalesund
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
MoldeAalesund

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
MoldeAalesund
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
MoldeAalesund
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
MoldeAalesund

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Molde is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / match - Molde · 1.3 pts / match - Aalesund

Molde - half-time state
50% leading30% draw20% trailing
Aalesund - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)1.3
MoldeAalesund
1.05Goals scored (1st half)0.9
MoldeAalesund
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.9
MoldeAalesund
1.8Average goals (1st half)1.8
MoldeAalesund
50%Clean sheet before half-time35%
MoldeAalesund
25%No goal before half-time30%
MoldeAalesund

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)0.9
MoldeAalesund
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
MoldeAalesund
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1.35
MoldeAalesund
1.85Average goals (2nd half)2
MoldeAalesund
40%Clean sheet after half-time25%
MoldeAalesund
40%No goal after half-time40%
MoldeAalesund

Molde - second-half results

35% W40% D25% L
36
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aalesund - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
26
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Molde - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.80
Goals scored / match1.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.22.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Aalesund - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.40
Goals scored / match1.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match2.61.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+5-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Molde
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
4
5
16-30
11
5
31-45
12
7
46-60
2
1
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Aalesund
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
8
3
16-30
5
9
31-45
7
7
46-60
1
9
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
78%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Molde

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Aalesund

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).

Teams vs league

MoldeLigaAalesund
Average goals in match▲ 3.653.16▲ 3.80
Both teams scored▲ 70%58%▲ 85%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 65%61%▲ 65%
Clean sheets▼ 20%23%▼ 5%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%85%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%78%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.83
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AalesundYellow cardMarius Andersen
  2. MoldeYellow cardWolji Jalal Abdulai
  3. AalesundYellow cardLuca Podlech
  4. MoldeYellow cardNiklas Ødegård
  5. AalesundSubstitutionOn: Tobias LeikangerOff: Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
  6. AalesundYellow cardMathias Christensen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Molde 0 - 1 - 0 Aalesund. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Molde vs Aalesund?

The Eliteserien match finished Molde 1:2 Aalesund. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Molde vs Aalesund?

Molde score 2.15 goals per game on average and Aalesund 1.55. The Eliteserien average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Molde's matches and 85% of Aalesund's.

What form are Molde and Aalesund in?

Over the last 5 games Molde have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Aalesund 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Molde vs Aalesund?

The statistical background for Molde vs Aalesund — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.