Molde vs Fredrikstad: match statistics
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Molde vs Fredrikstad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Molde play Fredrikstad in Eliteserien (Norway). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Aker Stadion.
Current form
Molde: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fredrikstad: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Molde scores 2.26 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Fredrikstad scores 1.22 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Molde 74%, Fredrikstad 65%. Over 2.5: Molde 70%, Fredrikstad 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Molde has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.35. Molde: 16.3 shots per match, Fredrikstad: 11.9.
Match halves
Molde: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.17. Fredrikstad: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Molde: 46-60 (13 goals). Fredrikstad: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 75%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Molde | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Molde is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Molde · 0.6 pts / match - Fredrikstad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Molde is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
2.26 goals / match - Molde · 1.22 goals / match - Fredrikstad
Molde scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Fredrikstad keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Fredrikstad scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Molde
Over / Under - Fredrikstad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Molde is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Molde · 1.22 pts / match - Fredrikstad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Molde - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fredrikstad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Molde
Fredrikstad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Molde | Liga | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.78 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 60% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 85% | ▼ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Molde 1 - 1 - 2 Fredrikstad. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
When do Molde and Fredrikstad play?
Molde face Fredrikstad on 25 October 2026 in Eliteserien at Aker Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Fredrikstad?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Molde won 1, Fredrikstad won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Molde score 2.26 goals per game on average and Fredrikstad 1.22. The Eliteserien average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Molde's matches and 65% of Fredrikstad's.
What form are Molde and Fredrikstad in?
Over the last 5 games Molde have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fredrikstad 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Molde vs Fredrikstad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.