Molde vs Lillestrøm: match statistics
Molde vs Lillestrøm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Molde played Lillestrøm in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Molde: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Lillestrøm: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Molde scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Lillestrøm scores 3.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Molde 50%, Lillestrøm 100%. Over 2.5: Molde 50%, Lillestrøm 100%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Lillestrøm has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.44. Molde: 12.5 shots per match, Lillestrøm: 17.0.
Match halves
Molde: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Lillestrøm: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
Molde: 0-15 (1 goals). Lillestrøm: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lillestrøm is the favorite based on form and attacking efficiency: they have 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 11 goals in that run, while Molde have 2 wins and 8 goals. The visitors create more chances — averaging 17 shots and 7 on target per away match versus Molde’s 13 shots and 4 on target at home — and they have a higher conversion rate (18% vs 15%) and higher xG (1.97 vs 1.50). Molde, however, boast strong home defensive stats: 100% wins and 100% clean sheets at their stadium, conceding on average 0 goals per match, which mitigates the visitors’ advantage. Considering the average points over the last 5 matches (2.4 for Lillestrøm vs 1.2 for Molde), the greater quantity and quality of chances created by the visitors, and Molde’s defensive steadiness at home, I tip a Lillestrøm win with a moderate risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - Yes as more likely (70% vs 30%) because recent data indicates goal exchange. In the last 5 matches Molde averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Lillestrøm averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, showing both teams create and concede chances. Lillestrøm averages 17 shots and 7 shots on target per match; xG over the last 5 matches is 1.63 for Molde and 1.44 for Lillestrøm, with xG against 1.18 (Molde) and 1.22 (Lillestrøm), confirming an exchange of opportunities. Seasonal indicators diverge (Molde home BTTS 0% vs Lillestrøm 100%), but both sides recorded 40% BTTS in the last 5 matches and the league BTTS rate is 54%, so the overall signal favors both teams scoring. Considering the away side’s attacking activity and the fact both teams concede on average 1.4 and 1.2 goals respectively, I choose 'Yes' as the strongest scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combining xG with 5-match averages yields expected goals of 1.43 for Molde and 1.31 for Lillestrøm, a total of 2.74 goals; attacking xG is 1.63 (Molde) and 1.44 (Lillestrøm). With this total, estimated probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is around 76%, while probability of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) is about 52%. Historical data support this: in their last 5 matches Molde have seen 60% of games finish Over 2.5 goals and Lillestrøm 80%, while the league average is 3.0 goals per match, confirming a tendency toward higher-scoring games. Lillestrøm are in good form (wwwwl) and in available data average 17 shots and 7 on target per match, which increases goal probability. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 and I recommend betting that line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics strongly favor Lillestrøm: the visitors’ xG is 1.97 versus Molde’s 0.00, and Lillestrøm averages 17 shots (7 on target) per match, while available seasonal data shows Molde with 0.0 xG and 0.0 shots, suggesting a significant advantage for the visitors. Lillestrøm is level at the break in 100% of away matches and averages 1.0 goal before half-time, so a draw HT is a strong signal. In the second half the visitors score an average of 2.0 goals (2.4 in the last 5 matches) and win the second half in 80% of cases, indicating frequent turnarounds and victories after the break. Molde has a 40% win rate in the last 5 matches and averages 0.4 goals before half-time, but its seasonal home values are zero, which reduces the likelihood of the hosts taking and holding a lead. Therefore the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Lillestrøm win at full-time (HT/FT X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Molde | Lillestrøm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lillestrøm is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Molde · 3 pts / match - Lillestrøm
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lillestrøm is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Molde · 3 goals / match - Lillestrøm
Lillestrøm is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Molde · 1 goals / match - Lillestrøm
Molde scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
Lillestrøm scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Molde
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Molde is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Molde · 1 pts / match - Lillestrøm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Molde - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Molde
Lillestrøm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Molde | Liga | Lillestrøm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.86 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Molde 2 - 0 - 0 Lillestrøm. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Molde vs Lillestrøm?
The Eliteserien match finished Molde 0:1 Lillestrøm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Lillestrøm?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Molde won 2, Lillestrøm won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Molde vs Lillestrøm?
Molde score 1.50 goals per game on average and Lillestrøm 3.00. The Eliteserien average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Molde's matches and 100% of Lillestrøm's.
What form are Molde and Lillestrøm in?
Over the last 5 games Molde have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Lillestrøm 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Molde vs Lillestrøm?
The statistical background for Molde vs Lillestrøm — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.