Molde vs Tromsø: match statistics
Molde vs Tromsø: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Molde played Tromsø in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Aker Stadion. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Molde: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Tromsø: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Molde scores 1.81 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Tromsø scores 2.00 and concedes 1.06. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Molde 69%, Tromsø 38%. Over 2.5: Molde 63%, Tromsø 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Molde has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.63. Molde: 15.1 shots per match, Tromsø: 13.8.
Match halves
Molde: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.94. Tromsø: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Molde: 46-60 (9 goals). Tromsø: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Molde have a clear home advantage: they win 63% of their matches there, average 2.25 goals scored, and record an xG of 1.66. Tromsø are higher in the table and have collected 9 points in their last five matches compared with Molde’s 5, scoring 16 goals to the hosts’ 11. However, the visitors concede an average of 1.43 goals per away match, while their xG against stands at 1.44, which could prove problematic against Molde’s efficient attack. The hosts register 14.38 shots per match at home and maintain 58% possession, whereas Tromsø collect points in a more pragmatic manner, with 48% possession. An open match with goals from both sides is expected, but Molde’s superior chance quality and home advantage marginally favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Current form clearly supports goals from both sides: Molde recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches, while Tromsø did so in 60%, averaging 2.2 and 3.2 goals scored, respectively. Molde conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game during this period, while Tromsø averaged 3.2 goals scored, giving the visitors strong arguments to breach even the hosts’ solid defence. The home side continue to create plenty of chances, with a season xG of 1.86, 6.11 shots on target per match, and an average of 2.0 goals scored, while Tromsø allow opponents 1.43 goals away from home. The main risk to the pick is Molde’s defence, which has kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches and concedes only 0.78 goals per game over the season; however, their recent results and Tromsø’s attacking form shift the forecast towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Molde score an average of 2.0 goals per home match, while Tromsø concede 1.43 away from home, with the hosts creating an average of 1.86 xG. The visitors also possess offensive potential, averaging 2.0 goals scored, while Molde allow opponents 1.22 xG. The last five matches clearly raise the goals profile, as Molde have scored and conceded 11 goals each, while Tromsø have scored 16 and conceded 7. At least two goals have been scored in 89% of Molde matches and 71% of Tromsø matches, making Over 1.5 goals the strongest selection, although the 2.5 line remains more evenly balanced.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Molde are the favourites, having won 67% of their matches this season and averaging 2.22 points per game, compared with Tromsø’s 57% win rate and 2.00 points per game. The hosts held a lead at the break in 5 of 9 matches, or 56% of the time, while the visitors did so in only 2 of 7, with Tromsø drawing at half-time in as many as 57% of their matches. Molde’s superiority in chance creation is clear: their average xG stands at 1.86 compared with 1.34, while shots on target average 6.11 versus 4.57. The hosts’ defence concedes just 0.78 goals per game on average and has kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches, limiting Tromsø’s chances of completing a turnaround. Although Tromsø have collected more points over their last five matches—1.8 compared with Molde’s 1.0—the first-half profile and the hosts’ overall-season advantage provide the strongest support for a Molde lead at the break and a home win at full-time, i.e. the 1/1 HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Molde | Tromsø | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tromsø is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Molde · 2.2 pts / match - Tromsø
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tromsø is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.81 goals / match - Molde · 2 goals / match - Tromsø
Tromsø is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Molde · 1.06 goals / match - Tromsø
Molde scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Tromsø keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Tromsø scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Molde
Over / Under - Tromsø
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tromsø is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Molde · 1.75 pts / match - Tromsø
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Molde - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tromsø - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Molde
Tromsø
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Molde | Liga | Tromsø | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.31 | 3.05 | • 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Molde 3 - 0 - 2 Tromsø. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Molde vs Tromsø?
The Eliteserien match finished Molde 3:2 Tromsø. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Tromsø?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Molde won 3, Tromsø won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Molde vs Tromsø?
Molde score 1.81 goals per game on average and Tromsø 2.00. The Eliteserien average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Molde's matches and 38% of Tromsø's.
What form are Molde and Tromsø in?
Over the last 5 games Molde have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tromsø 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Molde vs Tromsø?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.