Norway - EliteserienData current as of 13 August 2026

Molde vs Tromsø: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Molde vs Tromsø: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Molde play Tromsø in Eliteserien (Norway). The match date is 16 August 2026.

Current form

Molde: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tromsø: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Molde scores 1.62 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Tromsø scores 1.73 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Molde 62%, Tromsø 33%. Over 2.5: Molde 54%, Tromsø 47%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Tromsø has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.53. Molde: 13.4 shots per match, Tromsø: 14.1.

Match halves

Molde: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.69. Tromsø: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Molde: 31-45+ (6 goals). Tromsø: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eliteserien: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 20%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.26)
(3.58)
(3.07)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.62Goals scored / match1.73
MoldeTromsø
1.31Goals conceded / match1
MoldeTromsø
58%Average possession50%
MoldeTromsø
4.62Shots on target / match5.4
MoldeTromsø

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.38Shots per match14.07
MoldeTromsø
4.62Shots on target5.4
MoldeTromsø
12.1%Shot conversion12.3%
MoldeTromsø
58%Possession50%
MoldeTromsø
1.53xG for1.65
MoldeTromsø
1.45xG against1.25
MoldeTromsø

Shooting quality

Molde: BalancedTromsø: Attacking
MoldeTromsø
Accuracy (shots on target)35%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tromsø is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Molde · 1.6 pts / match - Tromsø

Molde
WLWDL
Season result split
46% W15% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-5
1.54 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Tromsø
LDDWW
Season result split
60% W27% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-2
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tromsø is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.62 goals / match - Molde · 1.73 goals / match - Tromsø

Tromsø is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - Molde · 1 goals / match - Tromsø

Molde scoring profile: strong

Molde scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Tromsø keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).

Tromsø scoring profile: very strong

Tromsø scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

21Goals scored (season)26
MoldeTromsø
17Goals conceded (season)15
MoldeTromsø
2.92Average goals in match2.73
MoldeTromsø
7Goals scored (last 5)9
MoldeTromsø
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
MoldeTromsø

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal73%
MoldeTromsø
38%2 goals53%
MoldeTromsø
15%3 goals27%
MoldeTromsø
15%4 goals20%
MoldeTromsø

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal47%
MoldeTromsø
38%2 goals13%
MoldeTromsø
8%3 goals13%
MoldeTromsø
8%4 goals13%
MoldeTromsø

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time7%
MoldeTromsø
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MoldeTromsø
31%Scored in both halves40%
MoldeTromsø

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
MoldeTromsø
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
MoldeTromsø
80%BTTS - last 540%
MoldeTromsø

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
MoldeTromsø
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
MoldeTromsø
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
MoldeTromsø

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
MoldeTromsø
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
MoldeTromsø
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
MoldeTromsø

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tromsø is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.69 pts / match - Molde · 1.8 pts / match - Tromsø

Molde - half-time state
46% leading31% draw23% trailing
Tromsø - half-time state
47% leading40% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.69Points per match (1st half)1.8
MoldeTromsø
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.73
MoldeTromsø
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
MoldeTromsø
1.62Average goals (1st half)1.07
MoldeTromsø
54%Clean sheet before half-time80%
MoldeTromsø
31%No goal before half-time47%
MoldeTromsø

After half-time (2nd half)

1.23Points per match (2nd half)1.8
MoldeTromsø
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)1
MoldeTromsø
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
MoldeTromsø
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.67
MoldeTromsø
46%Clean sheet after half-time60%
MoldeTromsø
54%No goal after half-time40%
MoldeTromsø

Molde - second-half results

31% W31% R38% P
22
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tromsø - second-half results

53% W20% R27% P
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Molde - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Tromsø - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Molde
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
6
3
31-45
6
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Tromsø
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
5
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
7
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Molde

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Tromsø

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).

Teams vs league

MoldeLigaTromsø
Average goals in match 2.922.95 2.73
Both teams scored 62%55% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%57% 47%
Clean sheets 23%24% 53%
Goal before half-time 85%82% 67%
Goal after half-time 85%78% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Molde 3 - 0 - 2 Tromsø. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 20% matches.

Tromsø IL
2 : 0
Molde FK
Molde FK
2 : 0
Tromsø IL
Tromsø IL
1 : 0
Molde FK
Molde
5 : 3
Tromsø
Tromsø
0 : 2
Molde

FAQ

When do Molde and Tromsø play?

Molde face Tromsø on 16 August 2026 in Eliteserien. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Tromsø?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Molde won 3, Tromsø won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Molde vs Tromsø?

Molde score 1.62 goals per game on average and Tromsø 1.73. The Eliteserien average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Molde's matches and 33% of Tromsø's.

What form are Molde and Tromsø in?

Over the last 5 games Molde have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tromsø 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Molde vs Tromsø?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.