Monaco vs Lille: match statistics
Monaco vs Lille: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monaco played Lille in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Monaco: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lille: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monaco scores 1.75 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Lille scores 1.59 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monaco 66%, Lille 41%. Over 2.5: Monaco 66%, Lille 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lille has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.46. Monaco: 12.4 shots per match, Lille: 13.8.
Match halves
Monaco: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.16. Lille: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Monaco: 61-75 (14 goals). Lille: 76-90+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Visitors Lille appear to have the edge in form and defensive solidity: they average 2.2 points per match over the last 5 games versus Monaco’s 1.6 and sit 4th in the table compared to the hosts’ 6th. The main counterargument is the goal record in the last 5 matches — Lille have conceded just 1 goal while Monaco have let in 10 in the same period. Monaco remain very dangerous at home, scoring 2.06 goals per game with a shot conversion of 17%, only 6% of matches without a goal, and averaging 12.44 shots and 4.63 on target. xG figures are similar (Monaco 1.48 xG at home vs Lille 1.51 xG away), and Lille have a slightly better average goals conceded away (1.25 vs 1.38) and a higher clean sheet rate (38% vs 31%), so I give higher chances to the visitors to win, although Monaco remain offensively dangerous.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Monaco has a seasonal BTTS rate of 50% versus 31% for Lille, but in the last 5 matches Monaco recorded BTTS in 100% (5/5) while Lille only 20% (1/5). In their last 5 Monaco scored 9 and conceded 10 (avg 1.8 and 2.0), whereas Lille scored 9 and conceded 1 (1.8 and 0.2), highlighting Monaco's defensive vulnerability and Lille's offensive efficiency. xG and shot comparison show Monaco generates xG 1.73 and averages 14.94 shots with 4.88 on target, while Lille has xG 1.51 with 12.75 shots and 4.63 on target, so both sides create scoring opportunities. At the same time Lille have failed to score in 38% of away matches this season, and Monaco failed to score in 19% of matches, which partially lowers Lille’s BTTS probability. Considering Monaco’s dominant signal in the last 5 (100% BTTS), Monaco’s high goals conceded rate (10 in L5) and comparable xG and shot numbers, I predict a 62% chance of BTTS (Yes) and 38% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculate expected goals of 2.71: Monaco 1.46, Lille 1.25, which suggests a match with around 2–3 goals. Seasonal stats show Monaco matches finished over 1.5 goals in 63% of cases and Lille in 69%, so both sides have a high tendency for games with at least 2 goals. In the last 5 fixtures Monaco recorded 100% of matches over 2.5 goals and scored 9 while conceding 10 (avg 1.8 scored / 2.0 conceded), whereas Lille in their last 5 scored 9 and conceded 1 (avg 1.8 / 0.2) with xG_for 1.77 and xG_against 0.67 — Monaco is active in attack but more vulnerable at the back, while Lille have recently shown a solid defense. Considering xG 2.71 and the league average of 2.84 goals, I rate Over 2.5 goals as moderately likely (62%), while low seasonal Over 3.5 figures (Monaco 19%, Lille 25%) favor Under 3.5 (80%). The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I assess it at 85% probability), therefore I recommend staking Over 1.5 as the best market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Monaco led at the break in 4 of 16 home matches (25%), with a draw at halftime in 10 of 16 (63%), while Lille led at the break in 7 of 16 away matches (44%) and were level at half-time in only 3 of 16 (19%). Averaging the tendencies of both teams ((63% + 19%) / 2 ≈ 41%) indicates a draw at the break is the most likely outcome. Monaco have better metrics in the latter stages: average xG 1.73 versus 1.51 for Lille, and they earn 1.63 points in second halves compared to Lille’s 1.31, with a second-half win rate of 38% vs 31%, giving the hosts an advantage in the final phase of the match. Therefore the strongest signal is a draw at half-time and a Monaco win at full-time (X/1), assigned the highest probability (23%), while also considering 1/1 at 18% and 2/2 at 16% as relevant alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monaco | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lille is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Monaco · 2.2 pts / match - Lille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monaco is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Monaco · 1.59 goals / match - Lille
Lille is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Monaco · 1.09 goals / match - Lille
Monaco scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Lille scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Monaco keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monaco
Over / Under - Lille
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lille is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Monaco · 1.44 pts / match - Lille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monaco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monaco
Lille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Monaco | Liga | Lille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 71% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monaco 0 - 0 - 1 Lille. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monaco vs Lille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Monaco 0:1 Lille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monaco vs Lille?
Monaco score 1.75 goals per game on average and Lille 1.59. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Monaco's matches and 41% of Lille's.
What form are Monaco and Lille in?
Over the last 5 games Monaco have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lille 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monaco vs Lille?
The statistical background for Monaco vs Lille — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.