Monaco vs Lorient: match statistics
Monaco displays significantly better home form with 56% of home matches won and a goal difference of +2, while Lorient has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate). The hosts score an average of 1.89 goals per home game from 4.22 shots on target, whereas the visitors score a mere 0.25 goals on average away from home and fail to score in 75% of away matches. Monaco also holds the advantage in possession (53% vs 44%) and shot conversion rate (15% vs 2%). Although the recent form of both teams is good (Monaco 1.8 PPG, Lorient 2.2 PPG), Lorient's disastrous away record with a goal difference of -12 and a streak of lldllldd in the last eight away games clearly points to a home advantage. Considering all statistical parameters, a Monaco victory is the most probable outcome of this match.
Monaco vs Lorient: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monaco play Lorient in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 16 January 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Monaco: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Lorient: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monaco scores 1.76 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Lorient scores 1.41 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monaco 65%, Lorient 53%. Over 2.5: Monaco 65%, Lorient 44%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Monaco has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.28. Monaco: 12.5 shots per match, Lorient: 11.3.
Match halves
Monaco: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.12. Lorient: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Monaco: 61-75 (14 goals). Lorient: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Monaco displays significantly better home form with 56% of home matches won and a goal difference of +2, while Lorient has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate). The hosts score an average of 1.89 goals per home game from 4.22 shots on target, whereas the visitors score a mere 0.25 goals on average away from home and fail to score in 75% of away matches. Monaco also holds the advantage in possession (53% vs 44%) and shot conversion rate (15% vs 2%). Although the recent form of both teams is good (Monaco 1.8 PPG, Lorient 2.2 PPG), Lorient's disastrous away record with a goal difference of -12 and a streak of lldllldd in the last eight away games clearly points to a home advantage. Considering all statistical parameters, a Monaco victory is the most probable outcome of this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monaco | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lorient is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Monaco · 1.4 pts / match - Lorient
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monaco is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Monaco · 1.41 goals / match - Lorient
Lorient is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Monaco · 1.5 goals / match - Lorient
Monaco scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Lorient scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Monaco keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Monaco
Over / Under — Lorient
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lorient is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Monaco · 1.59 pts / match - Lorient
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monaco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lorient - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monaco
Lorient
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Monaco | Liga | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 2.83 | • 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monaco 0 - 0 - 1 Lorient. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monaco vs Lorient?
The Ligue 1 match finished Monaco 1:3 Lorient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monaco vs Lorient?
Monaco score 1.76 goals per game on average and Lorient 1.41. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Monaco's matches and 53% of Lorient's.
What form are Monaco and Lorient in?
Over the last 5 games Monaco have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lorient 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monaco vs Lorient?
The statistical background for Monaco vs Lorient — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.