Monastir vs Stade Tunisien: match statistics

Monastir have a slight edge in recent form: they collected 7 points from five matches, while Stade Tunisien accumulated 5. The hosts scored 5 goals and conceded just 2 during this period, indicating a significantly more stable defence than the visitors, who allowed their opponents to score 5 times. Stade Tunisien have scored only 3 goals in their last five matches, so their ability to overturn the deficit away from home appears limited. Both teams began the league campaign with draws, while the lack of complete home-and-away data increases the likelihood of a closely contested match. However, Monastir's superior goal difference in their current form points towards a narrow home victory.

The strongest signal is the very low BTTS rate in the league, at just 28%, alongside an average of 1.71 goals per match. Monastir conceded only 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 fixtures, while their xG against stood at 0.72, clearly limiting Stade Tunisien’s chances of scoring. The visitors averaged just 0.6 goals per match during this period and recorded BTTS in 40% of their games, whereas the hosts had BTTS in only 0% of their last 5 matches. Monastir scored 5 goals and conceded just 2 across their five most recent appearances, making the BTTS - No outcome—meaning at least one team fails to score—more likely.

The league profile clearly favors a low-scoring outcome: the average total goals is only 1.71, while matches with at least 3 goals account for just 14%. Monastir have scored 5 goals and conceded 2 in their last 5 matches, meaning their games have averaged 1.4 goals. Over the same period, Stade Tunisien averaged 0.6 goals scored, and both teams had only 20% of their matches featuring at least 3 goals. The hosts have also shown solid defensive form, allowing an xG of just 0.72 across their last five appearances, which limits the visitors’ potential despite their xG of 1.45. The projected total of 1.80 goals indicates a significant safety margin for Under 3.5 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Monastir win at full-time, as the hosts have averaged 0.4 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded before the break in their last five matches. Over the same period, Stade Tunisien have failed to score in any first half, drawn at half-time in 60% of matches and been behind at the break in 40%, which clearly limits the visitors’ chances of taking an early lead. Monastir also have the stronger recent results profile: they won 40% of their last five matches compared with 20% for their opponents, while their average goals conceded stands at 0.4 versus 1.0 for Stade Tunisien. After the break, the hosts kept a clean sheet in 80% of their last five appearances, whereas the visitors conceded an average of 0.6 goals, making a one-goal Monastir victory the most logical outcome. The low league average of 1.71 goals per match, along with only 28% of games featuring goals from both teams, further supports the scenario of a cautious start and a late advantage for the hosts.