Monopoli vs Crotone: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Monopoli shows solid home form with 43% of wins at home and a goal difference of +2, however, their last five overall matches show variable form (3 wins, 2 losses). Crotone impresses with better away form, with higher scoring efficiency (1.57 goals per match) and better xG statistics (1.51 vs 1.28 for the hosts). The visitors also have an advantage in the last five overall matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.8 PPG). A key factor is the small difference in strength between both teams – Crotone has better offensive parameters, but Monopoli benefits from home advantage. Considering the similar ball possession indicators (53% vs 54%) and similar average xG Against, I expect a fierce, balanced encounter with a slight advantage for the visitors or a share of the points.
Monopoli vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monopoli play Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Monopoli: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Crotone: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monopoli scores 1.03 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Crotone scores 1.55 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monopoli 47%, Crotone 45%. Over 2.5: Monopoli 34%, Crotone 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Crotone has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.26. Monopoli: 9.7 shots per match, Crotone: 11.7.
Match halves
Monopoli: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.82. Crotone: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Monopoli: 46-60 (13 goals). Crotone: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Monopoli shows solid home form with 43% of wins at home and a goal difference of +2, however, their last five overall matches show variable form (3 wins, 2 losses). Crotone impresses with better away form, with higher scoring efficiency (1.57 goals per match) and better xG statistics (1.51 vs 1.28 for the hosts). The visitors also have an advantage in the last five overall matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.8 PPG). A key factor is the small difference in strength between both teams – Crotone has better offensive parameters, but Monopoli benefits from home advantage. Considering the similar ball possession indicators (53% vs 54%) and similar average xG Against, I expect a fierce, balanced encounter with a slight advantage for the visitors or a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monopoli | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Crotone is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Monopoli · 1.8 pts / match - Crotone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crotone is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Monopoli · 1.55 goals / match - Crotone
Monopoli scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Crotone scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Monopoli keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Monopoli
Over / Under — Crotone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crotone is 114% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Monopoli · 1.63 pts / match - Crotone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monopoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Crotone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monopoli
Crotone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Monopoli | Liga | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 46% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 67% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monopoli 1 - 0 - 0 Crotone. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monopoli vs Crotone?
The Serie C Group C match finished Monopoli 1:1 Crotone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monopoli vs Crotone?
Monopoli score 1.03 goals per game on average and Crotone 1.55. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Monopoli's matches and 45% of Crotone's.
What form are Monopoli and Crotone in?
Over the last 5 games Monopoli have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Crotone 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monopoli vs Crotone?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.