Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio: match statistics
Monopoli performs significantly better at home, achieving a 38% win rate with only 31% losses. The hosts have a positive goal difference in home matches (+1) and better offensive efficiency (1.15 goals per game) compared to Sorrento playing away (0.75 goals). Sorrento has very poor away form with a 50% loss rate and as many as 42% of matches without scoring a goal, confirming their offensive issues. Additionally, the away side's xG is just 1.04 with an xG against of 1.94, indicating a significant advantage for their opponents in away matches. Considering the recent form of both teams (Monopoli 0.8 PPG, Sorrento 1.2 PPG), I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario. Monopoli should capitalize on the home advantage and secure three points in this encounter.
Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monopoli played Sorrento Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Monopoli: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sorrento Calcio: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monopoli scores 1.04 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Sorrento Calcio scores 1.08 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monopoli 46%, Sorrento Calcio 58%. Over 2.5: Monopoli 35%, Sorrento Calcio 54%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Monopoli has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.22. Monopoli: 9.7 shots per match, Sorrento Calcio: 9.6.
Match halves
Monopoli: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.81. Sorrento Calcio: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Monopoli: 46-60 (8 goals). Sorrento Calcio: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monopoli performs significantly better at home, achieving a 38% win rate with only 31% losses. The hosts have a positive goal difference in home matches (+1) and better offensive efficiency (1.15 goals per game) compared to Sorrento playing away (0.75 goals). Sorrento has very poor away form with a 50% loss rate and as many as 42% of matches without scoring a goal, confirming their offensive issues. Additionally, the away side's xG is just 1.04 with an xG against of 1.94, indicating a significant advantage for their opponents in away matches. Considering the recent form of both teams (Monopoli 0.8 PPG, Sorrento 1.2 PPG), I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario. Monopoli should capitalize on the home advantage and secure three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monopoli | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sorrento Calcio is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Monopoli · 1.2 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monopoli is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Monopoli · 1.38 goals / match - Sorrento Calcio
Monopoli scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Sorrento Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Sorrento Calcio scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Monopoli keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monopoli
Over / Under - Sorrento Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sorrento Calcio is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Monopoli · 1.23 pts / match - Sorrento Calcio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monopoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sorrento Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monopoli
Sorrento Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Monopoli | Liga | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.49 | • 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monopoli 0 - 1 - 0 Sorrento Calcio. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Monopoli 1:0 Sorrento Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio?
Monopoli score 1.04 goals per game on average and Sorrento Calcio 1.08. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Monopoli's matches and 58% of Sorrento Calcio's.
What form are Monopoli and Sorrento Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Monopoli have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sorrento Calcio 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.