Monopoli vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics
Monopoli demonstrates solid home form with 40% victories and only 27% defeats at their own stadium, maintaining a positive goal difference of +2 in home matches. The hosts exhibit defensive stability, conceding an average of just 1 goal per game at home, which represents a significant advantage over Virtus Casarano, who concede an average of 2.33 goals on the road. The visitors have a disastrous away record with 60% losses and a goal difference of -15, underscoring their struggles on away grounds. Monopoli boasts superior xG figures (1.26 vs 1.17) and a higher clean sheet rate (27% vs 7%), further tipping the scales in their favor. Taking all statistical parameters into account, particularly the hosts' home advantage and the guests' poor away form, a Monopoli victory is the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out given the hosts' 33% draw rate at home.
Monopoli vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monopoli played Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 9 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Monopoli: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monopoli scores 1.00 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.37 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monopoli 43%, Virtus Casarano 53%. Over 2.5: Monopoli 30%, Virtus Casarano 60%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Monopoli has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.22. Monopoli: 9.6 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 9.4.
Match halves
Monopoli: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.80. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Monopoli: 46-60 (10 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monopoli demonstrates solid home form with 40% victories and only 27% defeats at their own stadium, maintaining a positive goal difference of +2 in home matches. The hosts exhibit defensive stability, conceding an average of just 1 goal per game at home, which represents a significant advantage over Virtus Casarano, who concede an average of 2.33 goals on the road. The visitors have a disastrous away record with 60% losses and a goal difference of -15, underscoring their struggles on away grounds. Monopoli boasts superior xG figures (1.26 vs 1.17) and a higher clean sheet rate (27% vs 7%), further tipping the scales in their favor. Taking all statistical parameters into account, particularly the hosts' home advantage and the guests' poor away form, a Monopoli victory is the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out given the hosts' 33% draw rate at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monopoli | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Virtus Casarano is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Monopoli · 1.37 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Monopoli is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Monopoli · 1.63 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Monopoli scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
Virtus Casarano scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Monopoli keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monopoli
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Virtus Casarano is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Monopoli · 1.17 pts / match - Virtus Casarano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monopoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monopoli
Virtus Casarano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Monopoli | Liga | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.07 | 2.47 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 46% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monopoli 1 - 0 - 0 Virtus Casarano. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monopoli vs Virtus Casarano?
The Serie C Group C match finished Monopoli 2:1 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monopoli vs Virtus Casarano?
Monopoli score 1.00 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.37. The Serie C Group C average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Monopoli's matches and 53% of Virtus Casarano's.
What form are Monopoli and Virtus Casarano in?
Over the last 5 games Monopoli have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monopoli vs Virtus Casarano?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.