Montana vs Dobrudzha 1919: match statistics
Montana vs Dobrudzha 1919: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montana played Dobrudzha 1919 in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 27 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Montana: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Dobrudzha 1919: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montana scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Dobrudzha 1919 scores 0.77 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montana 37%, Dobrudzha 1919 37%. Over 2.5: Montana 40%, Dobrudzha 1919 43%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Dobrudzha 1919 has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.17. Montana: 9.2 shots per match, Dobrudzha 1919: 9.8.
Match halves
Montana: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.27. Dobrudzha 1919: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Montana: 46-60 (5 goals). Dobrudzha 1919: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montana holds a slight edge in chance quality — at home they average 0.6 goals per game, record xG 1.21 and produce 3.07 shots on target, while Dobrudzha away averages 0.33 goals, xG 1.16 and 2.6 shots on target. Defensively the hosts also perform better — Montana concedes 1.33 goals at home on average, Dobrudzha concedes 1.67 on the road; in the last 5 matches the visitors have let in 10 goals, the hosts 5. Additionally Dobrudzha have not won any away match this season (0% away wins) and have 67% of away games without scoring, whereas Montana keep a clean sheet in 33% of home matches and fail to score in 47% of home fixtures. Both teams are in poor points form — averaging 0.2 points per game over the last 5 matches — with low finishing: Montana 0.6 goals per home game, Dobrudzha 0.33 away, which increases the probability of a low-scoring outcome. Based on this I estimate Montana’s win probability at around 55%, a draw 25% and a Dobrudzha win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 40% for Montana and 33% for Dobrudzha, while BTTS in the last 5 matches is only 20% for both teams, indicating a decline in occurrences of both teams scoring. Dobrudzha averages 0.33 goals per game on the season and has xG_for 1.16, but with a conversion rate of just 4% their created chances rarely translate into goals. Montana scores 1.2 goals per game season-to-date and has xG_for 1.45 with an average of 4.07 shots on target and 11.07 total shots, so they represent a bigger threat than the visitors, who have 2.6 shots on target and 8.53 total shots. In the last 5 matches Dobrudzha scored 2 and conceded 10 (avg 0.4 scored and 2.0 conceded), while Montana has 1 scored and 5 conceded in that period (0.2 scored and 1.0 conceded), which shows poor attacking efficiency, especially from the visitors. Consequently the signal is stronger for BTTS - No: I recommend 70% on 'No' and 30% on 'Yes', because the visitors' low real scoring efficiency (0.33 goals seasonally, 4% conversion) and only 20% BTTS in the last 5 matches reduce the likelihood that both teams will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG: Montana has attacking xG of 1.45, while Dobrudzha concedes on average 1.56 xG, implying roughly 1.50 expected goals for the home side; Dobrudzha has attacking xG of 1.16 versus 1.15 xG conceded by Montana, implying about 1.16 expected goals for the visitors, totaling approximately 2.66 goals. For that mean, the probability distribution suggests about a 74% chance of Over 1.5 goals and about a 49% chance of Over 2.5 goals, which aligns with seasonal indicators: Montana records Over 1.5 in 80% of matches, Dobrudzha in 60%, while Over 2.5 occurs in 47% and 40% of their games respectively. Montana averages 4.07 on-target shots with an 11% conversion, whereas Dobrudzha averages 2.6 on-target with a 4% conversion, so the home side generates more high-quality chances. Given the high probability of Over 1.5 (74%) and the home offensive edge, I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal; the 3.5 line is unattractive (seasonally only 13% for both teams).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Montana has a clear offensive edge: on average 1.2 goals per match versus Dobrudzha’s 0.33, xG 1.45 versus 1.16, 4.07 shots on target against 2.6 and a conversion rate of 11% versus 4%. The strongest argument for a comeback after the break is Montana’s second half — on average 0.8 goals in the second half versus 0.07 for the visitors, and 6 goals scored in minutes 61–75, while Dobrudzha practically do not score after the break. At half-time I expect a draw: the hosts had a draw at the break in 100% of their last 5 matches and seasonally drew at half-time in 33% of games, while the visitors led at the break in only 7% of matches; this predisposes a draw/home win scenario. On that basis I assign the highest probability to X/1 — 44%, then X/X 18% and 1/1 20%, while scenarios with the visitors leading at half-time I assess at about 6% in total.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montana | Dobrudzha 1919 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dobrudzha 1919 is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Montana · 0.77 goals / match - Dobrudzha 1919
Dobrudzha 1919 is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Montana · 1.43 goals / match - Dobrudzha 1919
Montana scores in 47% of matches (14 of 30 matches), while Dobrudzha 1919 keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Dobrudzha 1919 scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Montana keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montana
Over / Under - Dobrudzha 1919
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dobrudzha 1919 is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / match - Montana · 0.8 pts / match - Dobrudzha 1919
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dobrudzha 1919 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montana
Dobrudzha 1919
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Montana | Liga | Dobrudzha 1919 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.33 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 43% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 35% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Montana 1 - 0 - 1 Dobrudzha 1919. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montana vs Dobrudzha 1919?
The First League match finished Montana 1:0 Dobrudzha 1919. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montana and Dobrudzha 1919?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montana won 1, Dobrudzha 1919 won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montana vs Dobrudzha 1919?
Montana score 0.50 goals per game on average and Dobrudzha 1919 0.77. The First League average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Montana's matches and 37% of Dobrudzha 1919's.
What form are Montana and Dobrudzha 1919 in?
Over the last 5 games Montana have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Dobrudzha 1919 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montana vs Dobrudzha 1919?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.