Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu: match statistics
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Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montedio Yamagata play Sagan Tosu in J2 League (Japan). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Current form
Montedio Yamagata: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Sagan Tosu: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montedio Yamagata scores 1.14 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Sagan Tosu scores 1.14 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montedio Yamagata 14%, Sagan Tosu 43%. Over 2.5: Montedio Yamagata 29%, Sagan Tosu 43%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Montedio Yamagata has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.64. Montedio Yamagata: 14.4 shots per match, Sagan Tosu: 14.6.
Match halves
Montedio Yamagata: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00. Sagan Tosu: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Montedio Yamagata: 76-90+ (5 goals). Sagan Tosu: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montedio Yamagata | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Montedio Yamagata is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Montedio Yamagata · 0.8 pts / match - Sagan Tosu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montedio Yamagata is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Montedio Yamagata · 1.29 goals / match - Sagan Tosu
Montedio Yamagata scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Sagan Tosu scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Montedio Yamagata keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montedio Yamagata
Over / Under - Sagan Tosu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sagan Tosu is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Montedio Yamagata · 1.57 pts / match - Sagan Tosu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montedio Yamagata - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sagan Tosu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montedio Yamagata
Sagan Tosu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Montedio Yamagata | Liga | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 14% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 32% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 64% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Montedio Yamagata 1 - 0 - 1 Sagan Tosu. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Montedio Yamagata and Sagan Tosu play?
Montedio Yamagata face Sagan Tosu on 26 September 2026 in J2 League at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montedio Yamagata and Sagan Tosu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 1, Sagan Tosu won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?
Montedio Yamagata score 1.14 goals per game on average and Sagan Tosu 1.14. The J2 League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Montedio Yamagata's matches and 43% of Sagan Tosu's.
What form are Montedio Yamagata and Sagan Tosu in?
Over the last 5 games Montedio Yamagata have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sagan Tosu 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.