Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai: match statistics
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montedio Yamagata played Vegalta Sendai in J2 League (Japan). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Montedio Yamagata: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Vegalta Sendai: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montedio Yamagata scores 1.22 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Vegalta Sendai scores 1.89 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montedio Yamagata 22%, Vegalta Sendai 56%. Over 2.5: Montedio Yamagata 33%, Vegalta Sendai 44%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Vegalta Sendai has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.55. Montedio Yamagata: 13.1 shots per match, Vegalta Sendai: 13.2.
Match halves
Montedio Yamagata: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89. Vegalta Sendai: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Montedio Yamagata: 76-90+ (5 goals). Vegalta Sendai: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vegalta Sendai top the table and have won 4 of their last 5 away matches, while tenth-placed Montedio Yamagata have lost 4 of their last 5 matches overall. The visitors average 2 goals per away match, compared with the hosts’ 1.4 goals at home, and their shot conversion rate is 16%, versus 11% for Montedio. Although both teams concede an average of 0.8 goals in these respective conditions, Vegalta’s away xG conceded is 1.18, compared with Montedio’s 1.73 at home, suggesting the visitors have the more solid defence. The hosts could still threaten the league leaders, as their home xG stands at 1.58, against Vegalta’s 1.49 on the road. The visitors’ superior finishing and clearly stronger recent form ultimately point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Montedio have recorded BTTS in 75% of their matches, compared with 40% for Vegalta, so the season-long data offer a mixed signal. However, recent form supports both teams to score: Vegalta had BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game over that period. The visitors have recently averaged 2.2 goals per match, which, combined with the 1.73 xG Montedio concede, significantly boosts the likelihood of them scoring. The bigger question is the hosts, who have scored just 0.8 goals per game on average across their last 5 matches. However, Vegalta have also conceded 1.4 goals per game and have kept a clean sheet in only 40% of their season matches. Therefore, BTTS - Yes has a slight edge, although Montedio’s recent lack of goals limits confidence in this pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 75% of Montedio Yamagata’s matches and 100% of Vegalta Sendai’s matches. The visitors average 2.0 goals per match and have scored 2.2 per game across their last five, while the hosts have conceded an average of 1.4 goals over that period. Montedio also have attacking potential, with a season xG of 1.73, supporting a forecast of around 2.70 total goals. Higher lines are less convincing: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of the hosts’ matches and 40% of the visitors’ matches, making the case for at least two goals more compelling.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vegalta led at the break in 4 of the 5 matches included in the statistics and won 4 of them, making an away lead both at half-time and at full-time the strongest single scenario. They average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Montedio average 1.75 and 1.0, respectively. The last 5 matches also favor the visitors: they scored an average of 2.2 goals, compared with 0.8 for the hosts, who lost 4 of those matches. The main alternative is a draw at half-time followed by a Vegalta win, as Montedio were level at the break in 3 of the 4 matches included in the statistics. Even so, an early away lead appears slightly more likely: Vegalta averaged 1.2 first-half goals and failed to lead or be level at half-time only once in 5 matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montedio Yamagata | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vegalta Sendai is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Montedio Yamagata · 2.6 pts / match - Vegalta Sendai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vegalta Sendai is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Montedio Yamagata · 1.89 goals / match - Vegalta Sendai
Montedio Yamagata scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Vegalta Sendai keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Vegalta Sendai scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Montedio Yamagata keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montedio Yamagata
Over / Under - Vegalta Sendai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vegalta Sendai is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Montedio Yamagata · 2 pts / match - Vegalta Sendai
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montedio Yamagata - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vegalta Sendai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montedio Yamagata
Vegalta Sendai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Montedio Yamagata | Liga | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 69% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Montedio Yamagata 0 - 0 - 2 Vegalta Sendai. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
The J2 League match finished Montedio Yamagata 0:1 Vegalta Sendai. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montedio Yamagata and Vegalta Sendai?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 0, Vegalta Sendai won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Montedio Yamagata score 1.22 goals per game on average and Vegalta Sendai 1.89. The J2 League average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Montedio Yamagata's matches and 56% of Vegalta Sendai's.
What form are Montedio Yamagata and Vegalta Sendai in?
Over the last 5 games Montedio Yamagata have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Vegalta Sendai 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.