Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion: match statistics
Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monterey Bay played Birmingham Legion in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Monterey Bay: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Birmingham Legion: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monterey Bay scores 0.56 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Birmingham Legion scores 1.25 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monterey Bay 56%, Birmingham Legion 50%. Over 2.5: Monterey Bay 56%, Birmingham Legion 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham Legion has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.08. Monterey Bay: 9.0 shots per match, Birmingham Legion: 12.3.
Match halves
Monterey Bay: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44. Birmingham Legion: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Monterey Bay: 46-60 (2 goals). Birmingham Legion: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Birmingham Legion win; the visitors average 2.33 goals on the road while Monterey Bay scores just 0.25 goals per home game. Birmingham averages 5 shots on target and 10.67 total shots away versus the hosts' 2.25 on target and 9.75 total, with a conversion rate of 22% versus 3%, giving the visitors a clear advantage in finishing quality. Monterey have 0 wins this season, 7 losses, and in their last 5 matches have recorded 4 defeats and 1 draw, conceding 14 goals (2.8 per game) and averaging 0.2 points per game in that period; additionally, in 75% of home matches they fail to score. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 5 (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4 in that span and averaging 1.4 points per game, with 0% of away matches without a goal. Considering the efficiency gap (2.33 vs 0.25 goals, conversion 22% vs 3%), recent form (points average 1.4 vs 0.2) and shots on target (5 vs 2.25), I estimate probabilities: home 10%, draw 25%, away 65%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'YES' (BTTS) because Birmingham have a 100% BTTS rate away this season and 0% clean sheets, averaging 2.33 goals scored on the road. Monterey Bay have BTTS 100% in their last 5 matches (5/5), scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.8 goals per game, highlighting recent defensive vulnerability at the hosts. Birmingham average 5.0 shots on target and have a 22% conversion rate, with season xG for 1.32 versus xG against 2.12, which indicates they create chances but are also exposed to conceding. Seasonally Monterey at home average only 0.6 goals and have 60% clean sheets, but this trend conflicts with recent data (5/5 BTTS at home) and the league BTTS average of 56%. Considering the dominant away BTTS signal from Birmingham (100% away) and Monterey’s poor recent defensive figures (2.8 conceded in L5), I estimate BTTS probability at ~72% vs 28% and pick 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining attacking and defensive strengths projects expected goals of approximately 1.76 for Monterey Bay (attacking xG 1.40 vs opponent defensive xG against 2.12) and 1.21 for Birmingham (attacking xG 1.32 vs opponent defensive xG against 1.11), yielding a combined ~2.97 goals. Birmingham averages 2.33 goals per game this season compared to Monterey Bay’s 0.60 and has 100% of matches Over 2.5 and 100% BTTS, which significantly increases scoring probability. Monterey generates more shots (13.2 vs 10.67) but has a low conversion rate of 5% versus Birmingham’s 22%; additionally Monterey have conceded 14 goals in their last 5 matches (2.8 per game) compared to Birmingham’s 4 goals (0.8). The model produces probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈ 80%, Over 2.5 ≈ 57% and Over 3.5 ≈ 35%, therefore the strongest and most reliable signal is the Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast a Half-Time draw and a Birmingham Legion win at Full-Time (X/2). Monterey Bay draw at the break in 60% of matches, while Birmingham do so in 67%, providing a strong signal for a draw in the first half. After the break the visitors are favored: Birmingham average 2.33 goals per match versus Monterey’s 0.6, register 5.0 shots on target vs 3.0 and convert 22% of shots compared to the home side’s 5%, so they are clearly more efficient. Additionally, the average goals after the break are 2.33 for the visitors versus 0.8 for the hosts (AVG_2hg_away 2.33 vs AVG_2hg_home 0.8), and Birmingham score 3 goals in minutes 46–60 while Monterey have 0 in that period; form also confirms the visitors’ edge (Monterey last 5: l d l l l — 0% wins; Birmingham last 5: d d w d d — 20% wins).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monterey Bay | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Birmingham Legion is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.8 pts / match - Birmingham Legion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham Legion is 123% better for: goals scored per match.
0.56 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.25 goals / match - Birmingham Legion
Birmingham Legion is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.13 goals / match - Birmingham Legion
Monterey Bay scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Birmingham Legion keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Birmingham Legion scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monterey Bay
Over / Under - Birmingham Legion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Birmingham Legion is 124% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.75 pts / match - Birmingham Legion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Birmingham Legion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monterey Bay
Birmingham Legion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Monterey Bay | Liga | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monterey Bay 0 - 0 - 1 Birmingham Legion. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
The USL Championship match finished Monterey Bay 2:0 Birmingham Legion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
Monterey Bay score 0.56 goals per game on average and Birmingham Legion 1.25. The USL Championship average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Monterey Bay's matches and 50% of Birmingham Legion's.
What form are Monterey Bay and Birmingham Legion in?
Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Birmingham Legion 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.