Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United: match statistics
Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monterey Bay play Loudoun United in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 31 May 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Monterey Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Loudoun United: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monterey Bay scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Loudoun United scores 1.20 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monterey Bay 50%, Loudoun United 73%. Over 2.5: Monterey Bay 50%, Loudoun United 60%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Loudoun United has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.21. Monterey Bay: 9.6 shots per match, Loudoun United: 11.3.
Match halves
Monterey Bay: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69. Loudoun United: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (5 goals). Loudoun United: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Loudoun United have a higher probability of winning due to a more stable defensive performance and better recent results. In the last 5 matches Loudoun averaged 1.2 points per game with a goal difference of 4-4, whereas Monterey averaged 0.8 points in the same period with an 8-10 goal difference, indicating weaker defense from the home side. Factors favoring Loudoun include an average of 1.0 conceded goals on the road and 67% clean sheets away, while Monterey concedes 1.2 goals at home and fail to score in 60% of home matches. Monterey generates more chances (on average 9.6 shots and 2.8 on target per home game, xG 1.19 vs 1.12 for Loudoun) but has lower finishing efficiency (6% conversion vs 8% for Loudoun), which limits their offensive potential. Taking these figures into account, I estimate the probabilities at approximately 20% for the home win, 30% for a draw and 50% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monterey Bay | Loudoun United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monterey Bay is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 0.6 pts / match - Loudoun United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Loudoun United is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.2 goals / match - Loudoun United
Monterey Bay is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.93 goals / match - Loudoun United
Monterey Bay scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Loudoun United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Loudoun United scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Monterey Bay
Over / Under — Loudoun United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monterey Bay is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 0.73 pts / match - Loudoun United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Loudoun United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 7%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monterey Bay
Loudoun United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Monterey Bay | Liga | Loudoun United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monterey Bay 0 - 0 - 1 Loudoun United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United?
The USL Championship match finished Monterey Bay 4:1 Loudoun United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United?
Monterey Bay score 1.00 goals per game on average and Loudoun United 1.20. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Monterey Bay's matches and 73% of Loudoun United's.
What form are Monterey Bay and Loudoun United in?
Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Loudoun United 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.