United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 23 July 2026

Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monterey Bay play Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 04:00.

Current form

Monterey Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monterey Bay scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monterey Bay 50%, Orange County SC 63%. Over 2.5: Monterey Bay 50%, Orange County SC 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Monterey Bay has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.20. Monterey Bay: 9.6 shots per match, Orange County SC: 10.5.

Match halves

Monterey Bay: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69. Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (5 goals). Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

4 H2H matches: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.05)
(3.13)
(2.71)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Monterey BayOrange County SC
1Goals scored / match1.56
Monterey BayOrange County SC
1.56Goals conceded / match1.13
Monterey BayOrange County SC
50%Average possession45%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
2.94Shots on target / match3.5
Monterey BayOrange County SC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.56Shots per match10.5
Monterey BayOrange County SC
2.94Shots on target3.5
Monterey BayOrange County SC
10.5%Shot conversion14.9%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
50%Possession45%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
1.21xG for1.2
Monterey BayOrange County SC
1.48xG against1.62
Monterey BayOrange County SC

Shooting quality

Monterey Bay: BalancedOrange County SC: Counter-attacking
Monterey BayOrange County SC
Accuracy (shots on target)31%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Orange County SC is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC

Monterey Bay
WLWDL
Season result split
25% W19% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-9
0.94 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Orange County SC
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W44% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-1
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Orange County SC is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.56 goals / match - Orange County SC

Orange County SC is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC

Monterey Bay scoring profile: strong

Monterey Bay scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

Orange County SC scoring profile: very strong

Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

16Goals scored (season)25
Monterey BayOrange County SC
25Goals conceded (season)18
Monterey BayOrange County SC
2.56Average goals in match2.69
Monterey BayOrange County SC
5Goals scored (last 5)11
Monterey BayOrange County SC
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
Monterey BayOrange County SC

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal88%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
25%2 goals44%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
6%3 goals19%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
6%4 goals6%
Monterey BayOrange County SC

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal69%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
44%2 goals38%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
31%3 goals6%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
6%4 goals0%
Monterey BayOrange County SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Orange County SC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 16 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time31%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
6%BTTS in both halves25%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
19%Scored in both halves31%
Monterey BayOrange County SC

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Monterey BayOrange County SC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Monterey BayOrange County SC

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Monterey BayOrange County SC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Orange County SC is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC

Monterey Bay - half-time state
19% leading50% draw31% trailing
Orange County SC - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.38
Monterey BayOrange County SC
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.69
Monterey BayOrange County SC
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Monterey BayOrange County SC
0.81Average goals (1st half)1.13
Monterey BayOrange County SC
63%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
75%No goal before half-time44%
Monterey BayOrange County SC

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)1.69
Monterey BayOrange County SC
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Monterey BayOrange County SC
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
Monterey BayOrange County SC
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.56
Monterey BayOrange County SC
25%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Monterey BayOrange County SC
44%No goal after half-time38%
Monterey BayOrange County SC

Monterey Bay - second-half results

19% W31% R50% P
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Orange County SC - second-half results

44% W38% R19% P
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Monterey Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Orange County SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monterey Bay
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
9
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Orange County SC
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monterey Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Orange County SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Monterey BayLigaOrange County SC
Average goals in match 2.562.79 2.69
Both teams scored 50%58% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 38%
Clean sheets 25%26% 31%
Goal before half-time 56%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 88%80% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Monterey Bay 2 - 1 - 1 Orange County SC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.

Monterey Bay FC
2 : 1
Orange County SC
Orange County SC
0 : 3
Monterey Bay FC
Monterey Bay
0 : 0
Orange County SC
Orange County SC
2 : 0
Monterey Bay

FAQ

When do Monterey Bay and Orange County SC play?

Monterey Bay face Orange County SC on 26 July 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterey Bay and Orange County SC?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 2, Orange County SC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?

Monterey Bay score 1.00 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Monterey Bay's matches and 63% of Orange County SC's.

What form are Monterey Bay and Orange County SC in?

Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Orange County SC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.