Mexico - Liga MXEstadio BBVA BancomerData current as of 21 October 2026

Monterrey vs Guadalajara: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monterrey vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monterrey play Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estadio BBVA Bancomer.

Current form

Monterrey: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Guadalajara: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monterrey scores 1.73 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Guadalajara scores 1.58 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monterrey 64%, Guadalajara 50%. Over 2.5: Monterrey 55%, Guadalajara 33%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.81. Monterrey: 16.4 shots per match, Guadalajara: 15.7.

Match halves

Monterrey: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.55. Guadalajara: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Monterrey: 16-30 (7 goals). Guadalajara: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.46)
(3.55)
(2.55)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MonterreyGuadalajara
1.73Goals scored / match1.58
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.45Goals conceded / match1
MonterreyGuadalajara
55%Average possession60%
MonterreyGuadalajara
5.91Shots on target / match5.67
MonterreyGuadalajara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.45Shots per match15.67
MonterreyGuadalajara
5.91Shots on target5.67
MonterreyGuadalajara
10.5%Shot conversion10.1%
MonterreyGuadalajara
55%Possession60%
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.81xG for1.83
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.24xG against1.26
MonterreyGuadalajara

Shooting quality

Monterrey: DominantGuadalajara: Dominant
MonterreyGuadalajara
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monterrey is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Monterrey · 1.2 pts / match - Guadalajara

Monterrey
DWLDW
Season result split
45% W18% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-4
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Guadalajara
WDLDD
Season result split
42% W42% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monterrey is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.73 goals / match - Monterrey · 1.58 goals / match - Guadalajara

Guadalajara is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.45 goals / match - Monterrey · 1 goals / match - Guadalajara

Monterrey scoring profile: very strong

Monterrey scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).

Guadalajara scoring profile: very strong

Guadalajara scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

19Goals scored (season)19
MonterreyGuadalajara
16Goals conceded (season)12
MonterreyGuadalajara
3.18Average goals in match2.58
MonterreyGuadalajara
6Goals scored (last 5)7
MonterreyGuadalajara
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
MonterreyGuadalajara

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal83%
MonterreyGuadalajara
45%2 goals33%
MonterreyGuadalajara
18%3 goals25%
MonterreyGuadalajara
9%4 goals8%
MonterreyGuadalajara

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal67%
MonterreyGuadalajara
45%2 goals33%
MonterreyGuadalajara
18%3 goals0%
MonterreyGuadalajara
9%4 goals0%
MonterreyGuadalajara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time0%
MonterreyGuadalajara
9%BTTS in both halves0%
MonterreyGuadalajara
27%Scored in both halves25%
MonterreyGuadalajara

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
MonterreyGuadalajara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
MonterreyGuadalajara
60%BTTS - last 560%
MonterreyGuadalajara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
MonterreyGuadalajara
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
MonterreyGuadalajara
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
MonterreyGuadalajara

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MonterreyGuadalajara
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
MonterreyGuadalajara
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
MonterreyGuadalajara

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monterrey is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.73 pts / match - Monterrey · 1.5 pts / match - Guadalajara

Monterrey - half-time state
45% leading36% draw18% trailing
Guadalajara - half-time state
42% leading25% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.73Points per match (1st half)1.5
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.18Goals scored (1st half)0.75
MonterreyGuadalajara
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.82Average goals (1st half)1.08
MonterreyGuadalajara
45%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MonterreyGuadalajara
36%No goal before half-time58%
MonterreyGuadalajara

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per match (2nd half)1.67
MonterreyGuadalajara
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
MonterreyGuadalajara
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
MonterreyGuadalajara
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.5
MonterreyGuadalajara
45%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MonterreyGuadalajara
55%No goal after half-time33%
MonterreyGuadalajara

Monterrey - second-half results

18% W36% D45% L
19
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Guadalajara - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Monterrey - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Guadalajara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monterrey
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Guadalajara
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
5
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+91%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monterrey

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Guadalajara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

MonterreyLigaGuadalajara
Average goals in match▲ 3.183.00▼ 2.58
Both teams scored▲ 64%60%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%53%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 27%23%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%70%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%85%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Monterrey 0 - 0 - 2 Guadalajara. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CF Monterrey
2 : 3
CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
4 : 2
CF Monterrey

FAQ

When do Monterrey and Guadalajara play?

Monterrey face Guadalajara on 25 October 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio BBVA Bancomer. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterrey and Guadalajara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Monterrey won 0, Guadalajara won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Monterrey vs Guadalajara?

Monterrey score 1.73 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.58. The Liga MX average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Monterrey's matches and 50% of Guadalajara's.

What form are Monterrey and Guadalajara in?

Over the last 5 games Monterrey have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Guadalajara 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterrey vs Guadalajara?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.