Montpellier vs Guingamp: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, which argues for a draw. Montpellier presents solid home form with a 40% win record and only 20% of matches without scoring, but their average xG (1.49) exceeds actual goals scored (1.3 per match), suggesting some inefficiency. Guingamp impresses in away matches with a 44% win rate and high efficiency (17% shot conversion), and their recent form (3 consecutive wins) is excellent. A key factor is the close average possession for both teams (54% vs 52%) and similar xG Against values, indicating tactical balance. Both teams have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches with an identical points record (1.8 PPG), further confirming the even nature of the clash. Guingamp's advantage in Goal Difference away (2 vs 1 for Montpellier at home) is minimal; therefore, a split of points seems the most likely scenario.
Montpellier vs Guingamp: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montpellier played Guingamp in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Montpellier: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Guingamp: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montpellier scores 1.05 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Guingamp scores 1.60 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montpellier 40%, Guingamp 50%. Over 2.5: Montpellier 20%, Guingamp 70%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Montpellier has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.31. Montpellier: 12.4 shots per match, Guingamp: 11.8.
Match halves
Montpellier: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.70. Guingamp: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Montpellier: 76-90+ (6 goals). Guingamp: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, which argues for a draw. Montpellier presents solid home form with a 40% win record and only 20% of matches without scoring, but their average xG (1.49) exceeds actual goals scored (1.3 per match), suggesting some inefficiency. Guingamp impresses in away matches with a 44% win rate and high efficiency (17% shot conversion), and their recent form (3 consecutive wins) is excellent. A key factor is the close average possession for both teams (54% vs 52%) and similar xG Against values, indicating tactical balance. Both teams have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches with an identical points record (1.8 PPG), further confirming the even nature of the clash. Guingamp's advantage in Goal Difference away (2 vs 1 for Montpellier at home) is minimal; therefore, a split of points seems the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montpellier | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guingamp is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.8 pts / match - Guingamp
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guingamp is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Montpellier · 1.6 goals / match - Guingamp
Montpellier is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Montpellier · 1.5 goals / match - Guingamp
Montpellier scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Guingamp keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Guingamp scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montpellier
Over / Under - Guingamp
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guingamp is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.5 pts / match - Guingamp
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montpellier - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guingamp - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montpellier
Guingamp
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Montpellier | Liga | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.51 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 48% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Montpellier 0 - 0 - 1 Guingamp. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montpellier vs Guingamp?
The Ligue 2 match finished Montpellier 3:1 Guingamp. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Montpellier vs Guingamp?
Montpellier score 1.05 goals per game on average and Guingamp 1.60. The Ligue 2 average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Montpellier's matches and 50% of Guingamp's.
What form are Montpellier and Guingamp in?
Over the last 5 games Montpellier have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Guingamp 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montpellier vs Guingamp?
The statistical background for Montpellier vs Guingamp — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.