Montpellier vs Le Mans: match statistics
Montpellier is showing solid home form with a 45% win rate at home and a goal difference of +3; however, their last five overall matches show weaker form (1.2 pts/match). Le Mans, as the league's third-placed team, stands out with stability – only 10% away defeats and an impressive 50% draws in away matches, suggesting they are difficult to beat. xG statistics are balanced (Montpellier 1.49 vs Le Mans 1.11 away), and both teams have a similar average goals conceded (1.18 vs 1.30). The visitors' form in the last five matches is better (1.6 pts/match), which, combined with their tendency to draw away, makes a points split the most likely scenario. Montpellier holds a slight advantage due to playing in front of their home crowd, hence a slightly higher probability of their victory over a Le Mans win.
Montpellier vs Le Mans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montpellier played Le Mans in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Montpellier: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Le Mans: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montpellier scores 1.09 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Le Mans scores 1.23 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montpellier 41%, Le Mans 50%. Over 2.5: Montpellier 23%, Le Mans 32%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Montpellier has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.24. Montpellier: 12.0 shots per match, Le Mans: 10.6.
Match halves
Montpellier: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68. Le Mans: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Montpellier: 76-90+ (7 goals). Le Mans: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montpellier is showing solid home form with a 45% win rate at home and a goal difference of +3; however, their last five overall matches show weaker form (1.2 pts/match). Le Mans, as the league's third-placed team, stands out with stability – only 10% away defeats and an impressive 50% draws in away matches, suggesting they are difficult to beat. xG statistics are balanced (Montpellier 1.49 vs Le Mans 1.11 away), and both teams have a similar average goals conceded (1.18 vs 1.30). The visitors' form in the last five matches is better (1.6 pts/match), which, combined with their tendency to draw away, makes a points split the most likely scenario. Montpellier holds a slight advantage due to playing in front of their home crowd, hence a slightly higher probability of their victory over a Le Mans win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montpellier | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Le Mans is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.8 pts / match - Le Mans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Le Mans is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Montpellier · 1.23 goals / match - Le Mans
Le Mans is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Montpellier · 0.86 goals / match - Le Mans
Montpellier scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Le Mans keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Le Mans scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montpellier
Over / Under - Le Mans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Mans is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.59 pts / match - Le Mans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montpellier - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Le Mans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montpellier
Le Mans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Montpellier | Liga | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.09 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Montpellier 1 - 0 - 0 Le Mans. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montpellier vs Le Mans?
The Ligue 2 match finished Montpellier 4:2 Le Mans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Montpellier vs Le Mans?
Montpellier score 1.09 goals per game on average and Le Mans 1.23. The Ligue 2 average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Montpellier's matches and 50% of Le Mans's.
What form are Montpellier and Le Mans in?
Over the last 5 games Montpellier have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Le Mans 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montpellier vs Le Mans?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.