Montpellier vs Pau: match statistics
Montpellier vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montpellier played Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 11 September 2026. Venue: Stade de la Mosson. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Montpellier: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Pau: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montpellier scores 0.80 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Pau scores 0.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montpellier 40%, Pau 40%. Over 2.5: Montpellier 20%, Pau 20%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Montpellier has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.43. Montpellier: 13.8 shots per match, Pau: 14.2.
Match halves
Montpellier: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60. Pau: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Montpellier: 31-45+ (1 goals). Pau: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montpellier sit higher in the table, in 5th place compared with Pau in 10th, and have collected 8 points from their last five matches, while the visitors have taken only 5. At home, Montpellier create significantly more chances: averaging 20 shots, 6 on target and an xG of 2.07, compared with Pau’s away figures of 10 shots, 2.5 on target and an xG of 0.98. Montpellier’s main issue, however, is their finishing, as despite creating chances of this quality, they score just 0.5 goals per home match and have failed to score in 50% of their games. Pau average 1.5 goals away from home and have not failed to score in any away fixture, but Montpellier concede just 0.5 goals per match in front of their home supporters. Neither team has lost yet in their respective home and away matches, while 100% of Montpellier’s home games have ended in draws, making a share of the points the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - No is driven primarily by Montpellier’s very poor home finishing: the team averages just 0.33 goals despite registering 17 shots per match. The hosts have failed to score in 67% of their games, while their season BTTS rate is only 33%, well below the league average of 56%. Pau have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches and concede just 1.0 goal on average, strengthening the scenario in which Montpellier fail to score. Although Montpellier create chances worth 1.73 xG, their shot conversion rate is only 2%, while BTTS landed in just 40% of the teams’ last five matches. Pau should have opportunities to score against an opponent unlikely to keep a clean sheet, but it is more likely that at least one side will end the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals, as both Montpellier and Pau exceeded 2.5 goals in only 20% of their last five matches. During this period, both teams averaged 0.8 goals scored per game, while Montpellier conceded 0.8 and Pau conceded an average of 1.0. The hosts have greater potential according to the underlying data, with average xG of 1.73 compared to Pau’s 0.98; however, Montpellier have converted only 2% of their shots so far and scored just 0.33 goals per home game. Pau kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches, further reducing the risk of a high-scoring game. The projected total of 2.19 goals remains clearly below the four-goal threshold, which is why Under 3.5 offers the strongest edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Montpellier win at full-time, as the hosts have been level at the break in 100% of their last five matches, scoring just 0.2 goals per game in the first half. Pau have more often managed to take the lead before half-time, doing so in 40% of their last five matches, but away from home they average only 0.6 goals in the opening period, while Montpellier concede an average of just 0.2. After the break, the hosts have looked significantly stronger in their current form: they score an average of 0.6 goals, compared with Pau’s 0.2, while the visitors have failed to score after half-time in 80% of their last five appearances. Montpellier also hold an advantage in the quality of chances created, with an xG of 1.73 compared with Pau’s 0.98, and average 17 shots to their opponents’ 10. Although Pau have the better overall season record, Montpellier’s recent form includes a 40% win rate and only a 20% defeat rate, making a cautious start followed by a second-half turnaround in Montpellier’s favour the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montpellier | Pau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Montpellier is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Montpellier · 1 pts / match - Pau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montpellier is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Montpellier · 1 goals / match - Pau
Montpellier scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Pau scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montpellier
Over / Under - Pau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pau is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.6 pts / match - Pau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montpellier - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montpellier
Pau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Montpellier | Liga | Pau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.60 | 2.56 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 44% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 20% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Montpellier 0 - 1 - 1 Pau. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montpellier vs Pau?
The Ligue 2 match finished Montpellier 1:0 Pau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montpellier and Pau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 0, Pau won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montpellier vs Pau?
Montpellier score 0.80 goals per game on average and Pau 0.80. The Ligue 2 average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Montpellier's matches and 40% of Pau's.
What form are Montpellier and Pau in?
Over the last 5 games Montpellier have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Pau 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montpellier vs Pau?
The statistical background for Montpellier vs Pau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.