Montrose vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Montrose played Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Montrose: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Inverness CT: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Montrose scores 1.06 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.82 and concedes 0.59. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Montrose 39%, Inverness CT 29%. Over 2.5: Montrose 50%, Inverness CT 41%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.09. Montrose: 8.8 shots per match, Inverness CT: 14.9.

Match halves

Montrose: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Montrose: 0-15 (4 goals). Inverness CT: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
MontroseInverness CT
5Shots1
MontroseInverness CT
2Shots on target1
MontroseInverness CT
0.73xG0.41
MontroseInverness CT
3Corners2
MontroseInverness CT
38Dangerous attacks37
MontroseInverness CT
2Fouls6
MontroseInverness CT
1Cards2
MontroseInverness CT

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MontroseInverness CT
1.06Goals scored / match1.82
MontroseInverness CT
1.61Goals conceded / match0.59
MontroseInverness CT
49%Average possession53%
MontroseInverness CT
3.22Shots on target / match6.47
MontroseInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.83Shots per match14.94
MontroseInverness CT
3.22Shots on target6.47
MontroseInverness CT
11.9%Shot conversion12.2%
MontroseInverness CT
49%Possession53%
MontroseInverness CT
1.09xG for1.84
MontroseInverness CT
1.41xG against0.83
MontroseInverness CT

Shooting quality

Montrose: BalancedInverness CT: Attacking
MontroseInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)36%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Montrose · 2 pts / match - Inverness CT

Montrose
DDWWL
Season result split
28% W22% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Inverness CT
WWDWL
Season result split
71% W12% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-3
2.24 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 0.58BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 72% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Montrose · 1.82 goals / match - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 173% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.61 goals / match - Montrose · 0.59 goals / match - Inverness CT

Montrose scoring profile: more difficult

Montrose scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 65% (11 of 17 matches).

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).

19Goals scored (season)31
MontroseInverness CT
29Goals conceded (season)10
MontroseInverness CT
2.67Average goals in match2.41
MontroseInverness CT
8Goals scored (last 5)10
MontroseInverness CT
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
MontroseInverness CT

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal94%
MontroseInverness CT
28%2 goals47%
MontroseInverness CT
17%3 goals24%
MontroseInverness CT
0%4 goals18%
MontroseInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal35%
MontroseInverness CT
44%2 goals18%
MontroseInverness CT
28%3 goals6%
MontroseInverness CT
11%4 goals0%
MontroseInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time18%
MontroseInverness CT
6%BTTS in both halves0%
MontroseInverness CT
17%Scored in both halves41%
MontroseInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
MontroseInverness CT
28%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
MontroseInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 520%
MontroseInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MontroseInverness CT
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
MontroseInverness CT
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
MontroseInverness CT

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
MontroseInverness CT
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
MontroseInverness CT
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
MontroseInverness CT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Montrose · 1.82 pts / match - Inverness CT

Montrose - half-time state
17% leading44% draw39% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
47% leading41% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.82
MontroseInverness CT
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.88
MontroseInverness CT
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
MontroseInverness CT
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.18
MontroseInverness CT
39%Clean sheet before half-time76%
MontroseInverness CT
61%No goal before half-time35%
MontroseInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)2.06
MontroseInverness CT
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
MontroseInverness CT
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.29
MontroseInverness CT
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.24
MontroseInverness CT
44%Clean sheet after half-time76%
MontroseInverness CT
61%No goal after half-time29%
MontroseInverness CT

Montrose - second-half results

28% W33% D39% L
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inverness CT - second-half results

65% W12% D24% L
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Montrose - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Montrose
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
2
4
16-30
4
7
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
1
46-60
7
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Montrose

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

MontroseLigaInverness CT
Average goals in match 2.672.55 2.41
Both teams scored 39%42% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 41%
Clean sheets 22%32% 65%
Goal before half-time 72%72% 71%
Goal after half-time 78%81% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTGoalAlfie Stewart
  2. MontroseGoalBlair LyonsAssist: Callum Sandilands
  3. Inverness CTRed cardRoss Millen
  4. MontroseGoalSeán DillonAssist: Callum Sandilands
  5. MontroseYellow cardCameron Gill
  6. MontroseSubstitutionOn: Angus StevensonOff: Blair Lyons
  7. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Jordan AlongeOff: Mitchell Robertson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Montrose 0 - 0 - 2 Inverness CT. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Montrose FC
Montrose FC
0 : 2
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Montrose vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Montrose 2:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Inverness CT?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montrose won 0, Inverness CT won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Inverness CT?

Montrose score 1.06 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.82. The League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Montrose's matches and 29% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Montrose and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Inverness CT?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Montrose vs Inverness CT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.