Montrose vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Montrose has a clear advantage as the host of this meeting. Despite an average season, the home team shows solid home form with 42% of matches won at home and just 33% of matches without scoring a goal. Kelty Hearts present very poor disposition away - only 25% wins and a massive 58% of lost matches, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. The guests' recent form is worrying - just 0.6 points per match in the last five meetings and no wins. Montrose scored an average of 1.25 goals per match at home, while Kelty Hearts conceded an average of 1.83 goals away, suggesting an advantage for the hosts. xG statistics also support this prediction - Montrose generates better chances in home matches than Kelty Hearts do away, which, with the support of their own fans, should translate into a victory for the hosts.
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montrose played Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Montrose: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Kelty Hearts: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montrose scores 1.27 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Kelty Hearts scores 0.81 and concedes 1.92. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montrose 58%, Kelty Hearts 50%. Over 2.5: Montrose 58%, Kelty Hearts 58%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Montrose has higher xG: 1.08 vs 0.96. Montrose: 8.3 shots per match, Kelty Hearts: 6.8.
Match halves
Montrose: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.65. Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Montrose: 31-45+ (7 goals). Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montrose has a clear advantage as the host of this meeting. Despite an average season, the home team shows solid home form with 42% of matches won at home and just 33% of matches without scoring a goal. Kelty Hearts present very poor disposition away - only 25% wins and a massive 58% of lost matches, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. The guests' recent form is worrying - just 0.6 points per match in the last five meetings and no wins. Montrose scored an average of 1.25 goals per match at home, while Kelty Hearts conceded an average of 1.83 goals away, suggesting an advantage for the hosts. xG statistics also support this prediction - Montrose generates better chances in home matches than Kelty Hearts do away, which, with the support of their own fans, should translate into a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montrose | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Montrose is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Montrose · 0.6 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montrose is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Montrose · 0.81 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Montrose is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Montrose · 1.92 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Montrose scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Kelty Hearts scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montrose
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Montrose is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Montrose · 1.04 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montrose
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Montrose | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 31% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Montrose 1 - 0 - 1 Kelty Hearts. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
The League One match finished Montrose 1:1 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Kelty Hearts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montrose won 1, Kelty Hearts won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
Montrose score 1.27 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.81. The League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Montrose's matches and 50% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Montrose and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
The statistical background for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.