Montrose vs Queen of the South: match statistics
Queen of the South displays clearly better form with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches, while Montrose manages only 1.0 point. The hosts sit in 8th place in the table with a home record of 7-6-11 and a goal difference of -7, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per match. Queen of the South holds the 5th position and, despite playing away, shows better shooting accuracy (3.75 shots on target per game vs 2.55 for the hosts) and an advantage in possession (51% vs 49%). Montrose are without a win in two matches and have just a 36% home win rate, which combined with a 45% loss rate makes them the weaker favorite. Considering all parameters, especially recent form and offensive quality, Queen of the South has a higher chance of securing three points.
Montrose vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montrose played Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Montrose: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Queen of the South: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montrose scores 1.21 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Queen of the South scores 1.56 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montrose 54%, Queen of the South 48%. Over 2.5: Montrose 58%, Queen of the South 52%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.11. Montrose: 8.6 shots per match, Queen of the South: 10.9.
Match halves
Montrose: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.67. Queen of the South: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Montrose: 31-45+ (6 goals). Queen of the South: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Queen of the South displays clearly better form with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches, while Montrose manages only 1.0 point. The hosts sit in 8th place in the table with a home record of 7-6-11 and a goal difference of -7, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per match. Queen of the South holds the 5th position and, despite playing away, shows better shooting accuracy (3.75 shots on target per game vs 2.55 for the hosts) and an advantage in possession (51% vs 49%). Montrose are without a win in two matches and have just a 36% home win rate, which combined with a 45% loss rate makes them the weaker favorite. Considering all parameters, especially recent form and offensive quality, Queen of the South has a higher chance of securing three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montrose | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Queen of the South is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Montrose · 1.6 pts / match - Queen of the South
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Queen of the South is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Montrose · 1.56 goals / match - Queen of the South
Queen of the South is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Montrose · 1.24 goals / match - Queen of the South
Montrose scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Queen of the South scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montrose
Over / Under - Queen of the South
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Queen of the South is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Montrose · 1.48 pts / match - Queen of the South
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Queen of the South - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montrose
Queen of the South
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Montrose | Liga | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 53% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Montrose 1 - 0 - 1 Queen of the South. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montrose vs Queen of the South?
The League One match finished Montrose 3:2 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Queen of the South?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montrose won 1, Queen of the South won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Queen of the South?
Montrose score 1.21 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.56. The League One average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Montrose's matches and 48% of Queen of the South's.
What form are Montrose and Queen of the South in?
Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Queen of the South 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Queen of the South?
The statistical background for Montrose vs Queen of the South — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.