Italy - Serie AU-Power StadiumData current as of 04 November 2026

Monza vs Atalanta: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monza vs Atalanta: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monza play Atalanta in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 8 November 2026. Venue: U-Power Stadium.

Current form

Monza: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Atalanta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monza scores 1.70 and concedes 2.40 goals per match. Atalanta scores 1.60 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.18 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monza 90%, Atalanta 70%. Over 2.5: Monza 90%, Atalanta 80%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Atalanta has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.44. Monza: 12.5 shots per match, Atalanta: 14.5.

Match halves

Monza: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Atalanta: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Monza: 31-45+ (4 goals). Atalanta: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.95)
(4.43)
(1.70)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.7Goals scored / match1.6
MonzaAtalanta
2.4Goals conceded / match2
MonzaAtalanta
44%Average possession49%
MonzaAtalanta
5.4Shots on target / match5.2
MonzaAtalanta

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.5Shots per match14.5
MonzaAtalanta
5.4Shots on target5.2
MonzaAtalanta
13.6%Shot conversion11%
MonzaAtalanta
44%Possession49%
MonzaAtalanta
1.44xG for1.61
MonzaAtalanta
1.55xG against1.94
MonzaAtalanta

Shooting quality

Monza: Counter-attackingAtalanta: Attacking
MonzaAtalanta
Accuracy (shots on target)43%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atalanta is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Monza · 1 pts / match - Atalanta

Monza
LWLLL
Season result split
20% W10% D70% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-7
0.70 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
LWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Atalanta
WLDDL
Season result split
30% W20% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-5
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monza is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.7 goals / match - Monza · 1.6 goals / match - Atalanta

Atalanta is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.4 goals / match - Monza · 2 goals / match - Atalanta

Monza scoring profile: very strong

Monza scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Atalanta scoring profile: very strong

Atalanta scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

17Goals scored (season)16
MonzaAtalanta
24Goals conceded (season)20
MonzaAtalanta
4.1Average goals in match3.6
MonzaAtalanta
9Goals scored (last 5)11
MonzaAtalanta
12Goals conceded (last 5)13
MonzaAtalanta

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
MonzaAtalanta
50%2 goals50%
MonzaAtalanta
10%3 goals20%
MonzaAtalanta
10%4 goals10%
MonzaAtalanta

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal90%
MonzaAtalanta
70%2 goals70%
MonzaAtalanta
60%3 goals30%
MonzaAtalanta
20%4 goals10%
MonzaAtalanta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time30%
MonzaAtalanta
0%BTTS in both halves10%
MonzaAtalanta
30%Scored in both halves30%
MonzaAtalanta

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS70%
MonzaAtalanta
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
MonzaAtalanta
80%BTTS - last 580%
MonzaAtalanta

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
MonzaAtalanta
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
MonzaAtalanta
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
MonzaAtalanta

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
MonzaAtalanta
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
MonzaAtalanta
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
MonzaAtalanta

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atalanta is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Monza · 1.5 pts / match - Atalanta

Monza - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Atalanta - half-time state
40% leading30% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.5
MonzaAtalanta
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.9
MonzaAtalanta
1.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
MonzaAtalanta
1.9Average goals (1st half)1.7
MonzaAtalanta
30%Clean sheet before half-time40%
MonzaAtalanta
30%No goal before half-time50%
MonzaAtalanta

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)0.8
MonzaAtalanta
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
MonzaAtalanta
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
MonzaAtalanta
2.2Average goals (2nd half)1.9
MonzaAtalanta
30%Clean sheet after half-time20%
MonzaAtalanta
40%No goal after half-time40%
MonzaAtalanta

Monza - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
10
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atalanta - second-half results

20% W20% D60% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Monza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Atalanta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match2.62.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monza
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
5
31-45
4
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Atalanta
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
6
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
80%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.85
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
154%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Atalanta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

MonzaLigaAtalanta
Average goals in match▲ 4.103.18▲ 3.60
Both teams scored▲ 90%58%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 90%61%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 10%22%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%70%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%84%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.18
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Monza and Atalanta play?

Monza face Atalanta on 8 November 2026 in Serie A at U-Power Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Atalanta?

Monza score 1.70 goals per game on average and Atalanta 1.60. The Serie A average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Monza's matches and 70% of Atalanta's.

What form are Monza and Atalanta in?

Over the last 5 games Monza have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Atalanta 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Atalanta?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.