Monza vs Bari 1908: match statistics
Monza vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monza played Bari 1908 in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Monza: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bari 1908: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monza scores 1.55 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Bari 1908 scores 1.00 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monza 52%, Bari 1908 58%. Over 2.5: Monza 45%, Bari 1908 55%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Monza has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.17. Monza: 14.1 shots per match, Bari 1908: 10.7.
Match halves
Monza: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.91. Bari 1908: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Monza: 46-60 (12 goals). Bari 1908: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Monza wins 75% of matches at home, scores an average of 1.81 goals and concedes only 0.63 per game, keeping a clean sheet in 44% of home fixtures. Bari win only 13% of away matches, score 0.75 on average and concede 1.81, failing to score in 44% of away outings. Monza generates more high-quality chances — average xG at home is 1.67 versus 1.04 for Bari, and average shots on target are 4.94 versus 2.56, indicating a clear advantage in both volume and quality of opportunities. Recent form is similar (both teams 1.2 pts/game over the last five), but the gap in league position (3 vs 17) and the season-long goal differential favor Monza.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is preferred because Monza has a seasonal BTTS rate of 65% and Bari 50%, versus a league average of 55%. Bari conceded 51 goals this season (1.81 per match) while Monza scored 51 goals (1.24 per match), which significantly increases the hosts' likelihood to score. Over the last 5 matches both teams have a 60% BTTS rate: Monza averages 1.4 scored and concedes 1.2, while Bari scores 1.6 and concedes 2.2, meaning Bari both scores and concedes frequently. Additionally Monza generates 3.82 shots on target and xG 1.29 per match, and Bari has 2.56 shots on target and xG 1.04; low clean sheet percentages of 18% and 19% reinforce the scenario that both teams will score, therefore I recommend 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combined xG and attack/defense profiles yield approximately 2.98 expected goals: Monza ~1.62 (1.29 attacking xG vs 1.94 xG conceded to Bari) and Bari ~1.36 (1.04 attacking xG vs 1.67 xG conceded to Monza). Monza averages 11.71 shots and 3.82 on target with an 11% conversion, while Bari averages 9.69 shots, 2.56 on target and an 8% conversion; Bari has conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches and concedes 1.81 goals per game on the season. Season-long over 1.5 occurs in 76% of Monza’s matches and 81% of Bari’s, with over 2.5 in 53% and 56% respectively; the league average is 2.56 goals per match, so our 2.98 is above average. A Poisson model with λ=2.98 gives ~80% probability for Over 1.5, ~57% for Over 2.5 and ~35% for Over 3.5, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the strongest signal is a draw — Monza were level at the break in 65% of their matches and Bari in 63%, so a high proportion of HT draws is evident. After the break Monza have the edge: they score on average 0.71 goals after the interval and collect 1.53 points in those second halves, whereas Bari score only 0.25 goals after the break and 0.69 points, which increases the hosts’ chances of a turnaround. Additionally Monza register higher xG (1.29 vs 1.04), more shots on target (3.82 vs 2.56) and a higher conversion rate (11% vs 8%), while Bari concede 1.81 goals on average away, supporting a Monza victory scenario. On this basis I back X/1 (draw at Half-Time, Monza win Full-Time) at roughly a 40% probability, with a material probability of X/X (~21%) and smaller chances for the other combinations.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monza | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monza is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Monza · 1 goals / match - Bari 1908
Monza is 89% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Monza · 1.55 goals / match - Bari 1908
Monza scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
Bari 1908 scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monza
Over / Under - Bari 1908
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monza is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Monza · 1 pts / match - Bari 1908
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monza
Bari 1908
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Monza | Liga | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.56 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 71% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monza 0 - 1 - 0 Bari 1908. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monza vs Bari 1908?
The Serie B match finished Monza 2:0 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Bari 1908?
Monza score 1.55 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Monza's matches and 58% of Bari 1908's.
What form are Monza and Bari 1908 in?
Over the last 5 games Monza have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bari 1908 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Bari 1908?
The statistical background for Monza vs Bari 1908 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.