Italy - Serie AU-Power StadiumData current as of 16 October 2026

Monza vs Cagliari: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monza vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monza play Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 19 October 2026. Venue: U-Power Stadium.

Current form

Monza: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cagliari: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monza scores 1.50 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Cagliari scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monza 100%, Cagliari 33%. Over 2.5: Monza 83%, Cagliari 17%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Monza has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.05. Monza: 14.3 shots per match, Cagliari: 9.7.

Match halves

Monza: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Cagliari: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Monza: 16-30 (2 goals). Cagliari: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.45)
(3.22)
(3.38)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.5Goals scored / match1
MonzaCagliari
2.5Goals conceded / match0.5
MonzaCagliari
44%Average possession39%
MonzaCagliari
6Shots on target / match3.83
MonzaCagliari

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.33Shots per match9.67
MonzaCagliari
6Shots on target3.83
MonzaCagliari
10.5%Shot conversion10.3%
MonzaCagliari
44%Possession39%
MonzaCagliari
1.63xG for1.05
MonzaCagliari
1.45xG against2.11
MonzaCagliari

Shooting quality

Monza: AttackingCagliari: Balanced
MonzaCagliari
Accuracy (shots on target)42%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cagliari is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Monza · 2 pts / match - Cagliari

Monza
LDLWL
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Cagliari
LWWWD
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 2.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monza is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Monza · 1 goals / match - Cagliari

Cagliari is 400% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.5 goals / match - Monza · 0.5 goals / match - Cagliari

Monza scoring profile: very strong

Monza scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Cagliari scoring profile: very strong

Cagliari scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

9Goals scored (season)6
MonzaCagliari
15Goals conceded (season)3
MonzaCagliari
4Average goals in match1.5
MonzaCagliari
8Goals scored (last 5)5
MonzaCagliari
11Goals conceded (last 5)3
MonzaCagliari

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
MonzaCagliari
50%2 goals17%
MonzaCagliari
0%3 goals0%
MonzaCagliari
0%4 goals0%
MonzaCagliari

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
MonzaCagliari
67%2 goals0%
MonzaCagliari
67%3 goals0%
MonzaCagliari
17%4 goals0%
MonzaCagliari

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time17%
MonzaCagliari
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MonzaCagliari
33%Scored in both halves17%
MonzaCagliari

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
MonzaCagliari
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MonzaCagliari
100%BTTS - last 540%
MonzaCagliari

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
MonzaCagliari
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
MonzaCagliari
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MonzaCagliari

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
MonzaCagliari
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
MonzaCagliari
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MonzaCagliari

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cagliari is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / match - Monza · 1.5 pts / match - Cagliari

Monza - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing
Cagliari - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per match (1st half)1.5
MonzaCagliari
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.5
MonzaCagliari
1.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
MonzaCagliari
2.17Average goals (1st half)0.83
MonzaCagliari
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MonzaCagliari
33%No goal before half-time50%
MonzaCagliari

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.83
MonzaCagliari
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
MonzaCagliari
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
MonzaCagliari
1.83Average goals (2nd half)0.67
MonzaCagliari
33%Clean sheet after half-time83%
MonzaCagliari
33%No goal after half-time50%
MonzaCagliari

Monza - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
5
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cagliari - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.60.6
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-5+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cagliari - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monza
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Cagliari
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
189%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Cagliari

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.61
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
32%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

MonzaLigaCagliari
Average goals in match▲ 4.002.87▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 100%60%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%57%▼ 17%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%67%• 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%85%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Monza and Cagliari play?

Monza face Cagliari on 19 October 2026 in Serie A at U-Power Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Cagliari?

Monza score 1.50 goals per game on average and Cagliari 1.00. The Serie A average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Monza's matches and 33% of Cagliari's.

What form are Monza and Cagliari in?

Over the last 5 games Monza have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cagliari 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Cagliari?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Monza vs Cagliari: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.