Monza vs Frosinone: match statistics
This match promises to be extremely tight. Monza displays impressive home form with 78% wins in home matches and only 11% losses, scoring an average of 1.56 goals while conceding 0.56. Frosinone, as the leader of the away table, boasts even better statistics – 60% away wins and an excellent run in the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw) with a goal ratio of 10:3. A key factor is Frosinone's advantage in possession (47% vs 56% for Monza) and higher efficiency in shots on target (5.4 vs 4.78). Despite Monza's home advantage, the visitors' outstanding form and defensive solidity (40% clean sheets) suggest a very balanced confrontation. Considering all statistics and the fact that both teams have similar xG values, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
Monza vs Frosinone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monza played Frosinone in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Monza: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Frosinone: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monza scores 1.42 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Frosinone scores 1.89 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monza 47%, Frosinone 47%. Over 2.5: Monza 37%, Frosinone 53%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Frosinone has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.53. Monza: 13.9 shots per match, Frosinone: 16.5.
Match halves
Monza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.74. Frosinone: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Monza: 46-60 (8 goals). Frosinone: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match promises to be extremely tight. Monza displays impressive home form with 78% wins in home matches and only 11% losses, scoring an average of 1.56 goals while conceding 0.56. Frosinone, as the leader of the away table, boasts even better statistics – 60% away wins and an excellent run in the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw) with a goal ratio of 10:3. A key factor is Frosinone's advantage in possession (47% vs 56% for Monza) and higher efficiency in shots on target (5.4 vs 4.78). Despite Monza's home advantage, the visitors' outstanding form and defensive solidity (40% clean sheets) suggest a very balanced confrontation. Considering all statistics and the fact that both teams have similar xG values, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monza | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Frosinone is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Monza · 2.6 pts / match - Frosinone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Frosinone is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Monza · 1.89 goals / match - Frosinone
Monza is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Monza · 0.84 goals / match - Frosinone
Monza scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Frosinone keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Frosinone scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monza
Over / Under - Frosinone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Frosinone is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Monza · 2.05 pts / match - Frosinone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Frosinone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monza
Frosinone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Monza | Liga | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 26% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monza 1 - 0 - 0 Frosinone. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monza vs Frosinone?
The Serie B match finished Monza 2:2 Frosinone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Frosinone?
Monza score 1.42 goals per game on average and Frosinone 1.89. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Monza's matches and 47% of Frosinone's.
What form are Monza and Frosinone in?
Over the last 5 games Monza have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Frosinone 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Frosinone?
The statistical background for Monza vs Frosinone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.