Monza vs Napoli: match statistics
Monza vs Napoli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monza played Napoli in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 28 October 2026. Venue: U-Power Stadium. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Monza: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Napoli: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monza scores 1.88 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. Napoli scores 1.63 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monza 88%, Napoli 50%. Over 2.5: Monza 88%, Napoli 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Napoli has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.54. Monza: 13.4 shots per match, Napoli: 16.5.
Match halves
Monza: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25. Napoli: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Monza: 46-60 (4 goals). Napoli: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monza have won 2 of their 3 home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals, while Napoli have won just 1 of 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.25 goals in those matches. The hosts have scored in every home game, with a shot conversion rate of 18% compared with Napoli’s 7% away from home. However, Napoli create higher-quality chances: their away xG stands at 2.01, compared with Monza’s 1.62 at home, so the hosts’ advantage is not decisive. In their last five league matches, Monza have scored 11 goals but conceded 10, showing that their attacking efficiency comes with defensive risks. Despite this, home advantage and a higher conversion rate favour Monza, although their record is based on just three home matches, which calls for caution.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of Monza’s games and 60% of Napoli’s, which supports the BTTS - Yes pick. Over this period, Monza averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Napoli averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, showing that both teams have found the net regularly but have also allowed their opponents to score. Their attacking potential is reflected in average xG figures of 1.74 for Monza and 2.01 for Napoli, although Napoli convert only 7% of their shots into goals, compared with 11% for the hosts. The strongest argument against BTTS is Monza’s clean sheet record in 67% of their home matches; however, their defence has conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game recently, so I consider both teams to score the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Monza’s last 5 matches averaged 4.2 goals, while Napoli’s averaged 3.4, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. Both teams posted high average xG over this period: 1.63 for Monza and 2.05 for Napoli, although their average goals conceded—2.0 and 1.6, respectively—cover all matches, not just games in this configuration. Caution is warranted by Monza’s home results: at least two goals were scored in 67% of those matches, but none featured more than three. Therefore, Over 1.5 is a stronger pick than higher goal lines; with a projected total of 2.85 goals, I rate its probability at 79%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Napoli were level at the break in 3 of their 4 away matches and conceded no goals before half-time in any of them. Monza led at the break in only 1 of their 3 home games, so their advantage may emerge later. In their last 5 matches, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals after half-time compared with Napoli’s 0.6, and won the second half in 60% of matches compared with 20% for their opponents. Monza’s home record also supports a full-time win: they have won 67% of their home games and averaged 2.0 points per match, while Napoli have won 25% of their away matches and averaged 1.0 point. Although Napoli led at the break in 60% of their last 5 matches, the combination of frequent away draws at half-time and Monza’s stronger second halves points above all to a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monza | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Napoli is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Monza · 1.6 pts / match - Napoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monza is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Monza · 1.63 goals / match - Napoli
Napoli is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.25 goals / match - Monza · 1.25 goals / match - Napoli
Monza scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Napoli scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monza
Over / Under - Napoli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Napoli is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Monza · 1.63 pts / match - Napoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monza
Napoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Monza | Liga | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.13 | 3.10 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 88% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 88% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Monza vs Napoli?
The Serie A match finished Monza 1:4 Napoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Napoli?
Monza score 1.88 goals per game on average and Napoli 1.63. The Serie A average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Monza's matches and 50% of Napoli's.
What form are Monza and Napoli in?
Over the last 5 games Monza have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Napoli 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Napoli?
The statistical background for Monza vs Napoli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.