Poland - 3 Liga Group 4Data current as of 26 September 2026

Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Moravia Morawica play Jarosław in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match date is 27 September 2026.

Current form

Moravia Morawica: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Jarosław: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Moravia Morawica scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Jarosław scores 2.67 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Moravia Morawica 44%, Jarosław 78%. Over 2.5: Moravia Morawica 67%, Jarosław 89%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Jarosław has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.22. Moravia Morawica: 8.6 shots per match, Jarosław: 13.2.

Match halves

Moravia Morawica: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67. Jarosław: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67.

Goals by minute

Moravia Morawica: 76-90+ (4 goals). Jarosław: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 4: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.75)
(3.75)
(1.75)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Moravia MorawicaJarosław
1Goals scored / match2.67
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
2Goals conceded / match1.67
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
36%Average possession52%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
2.67Shots on target / match5.44
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.56Shots per match13.22
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
2.67Shots on target5.44
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
11.7%Shot conversion20.2%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
36%Possession52%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
1.22xG for1.68
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
1.74xG against1.27
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

Shooting quality

Moravia Morawica: BalancedJarosław: Efficient finishing
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
Accuracy (shots on target)31%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Moravia Morawica
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W0% D78% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-7
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 2.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Jarosław
WWWLW
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Jarosław is 167% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Moravia Morawica · 2.67 goals / match - Jarosław

Jarosław is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Moravia Morawica · 1.67 goals / match - Jarosław

Moravia Morawica scoring profile: strong

Moravia Morawica scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Jarosław keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Jarosław scoring profile: very strong

Jarosław scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Moravia Morawica keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

9Goals scored (season)24
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
18Goals conceded (season)15
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
3Average goals in match4.33
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
3Goals scored (last 5)17
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal100%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
22%2 goals67%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
11%3 goals44%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
11%4 goals22%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal78%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
78%2 goals67%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
22%3 goals22%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
11%4 goals0%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time44%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
11%BTTS in both halves22%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
22%Scored in both halves56%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS78%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
60%BTTS - last 560%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time44%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Jarosław is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.89 pts / match - Moravia Morawica · 1.33 pts / match - Jarosław

Moravia Morawica - half-time state
22% leading22% draw56% trailing
Jarosław - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.89Points per match (1st half)1.33
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)1.11
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
1.22Average goals (1st half)2.11
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
33%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
78%No goal before half-time33%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2.22
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.67
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
1.11Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
1.78Average goals (2nd half)2.22
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
22%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław
44%No goal after half-time11%
Moravia MorawicaJarosław

Moravia Morawica - second-half results

22% W33% D44% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Jarosław - second-half results

67% W22% D11% L
12
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Moravia Morawica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.40
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match0.62.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Jarosław - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.003.00
Goals scored / match1.42.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match2.62.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+1+9
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Moravia Morawica
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Jarosław
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
7
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
6
0
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Moravia Morawica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Jarosław

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.99
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
196%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).

Teams vs league

Moravia MorawicaLigaJarosław
Average goals in match• 3.002.93▲ 4.33
Both teams scored▼ 44%57%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%53%▲ 89%
Clean sheets▼ 11%25%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%59%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%64%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Moravia Morawica and Jarosław play?

Moravia Morawica face Jarosław on 27 September 2026 in 3 Liga Group 4. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?

Moravia Morawica score 1.00 goals per game on average and Jarosław 2.67. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Moravia Morawica's matches and 78% of Jarosław's.

What form are Moravia Morawica and Jarosław in?

Over the last 5 games Moravia Morawica have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Jarosław 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Moravia Morawica vs Jarosław: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.