Poland - 3 Liga Group 4Data current as of 22 October 2026

Moravia Morawica vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Moravia Morawica vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Moravia Morawica play Siarka Tarnobrzeg in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match date is 24 October 2026.

Current form

Moravia Morawica: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Moravia Morawica scores 1.00 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Siarka Tarnobrzeg scores 1.46 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Moravia Morawica 46%, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 54%. Over 2.5: Moravia Morawica 62%, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.21. Moravia Morawica: 7.3 shots per match, Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 4.2.

Match halves

Moravia Morawica: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.69. Siarka Tarnobrzeg: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.92.

Goals by minute

Moravia Morawica: 76-90+ (5 goals). Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 4: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.00)
(3.70)
(2.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1Goals scored / match1.46
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.77Goals conceded / match1.46
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
31%Average possession24%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2.46Shots on target / match1.23
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.31Shots per match4.23
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2.46Shots on target1.23
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
13.7%Shot conversion34.5%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
31%Possession24%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.21xG for1.27
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.7xG against1.52
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Shooting quality

Moravia Morawica: Counter-attackingSiarka Tarnobrzeg: Counter-attacking
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Accuracy (shots on target)34%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.30
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.411.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Moravia Morawica · 1.2 pts / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Moravia Morawica
LDDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
15% W23% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-8
0.69 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
WLLLW
Season result split
38% W15% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-6
1.31 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Moravia Morawica · 1.46 goals / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.77 goals / match - Moravia Morawica · 1.46 goals / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Moravia Morawica scoring profile: mixed

Moravia Morawica scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Siarka Tarnobrzeg keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg scoring profile: very strong

Siarka Tarnobrzeg scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Moravia Morawica keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

13Goals scored (season)19
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
23Goals conceded (season)19
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2.77Average goals in match2.92
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
5Goals scored (last 5)9
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal85%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
31%2 goals31%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
8%3 goals15%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
8%4 goals15%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal69%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
69%2 goals38%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
15%3 goals23%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
8%4 goals15%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 13 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time0%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
23%Scored in both halves23%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
60%BTTS - last 560%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Moravia Morawica · 1.31 pts / match - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Moravia Morawica - half-time state
23% leading31% draw46% trailing
Siarka Tarnobrzeg - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.31
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1Average goals (1st half)0.92
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
46%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
77%No goal before half-time69%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

After half-time (2nd half)

0.92Points per match (2nd half)1.23
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.77Average goals (2nd half)1.77
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
31%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
46%No goal after half-time38%
Moravia MorawicaSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Moravia Morawica - second-half results

15% W46% D38% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding65%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - second-half results

31% W31% D38% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Moravia Morawica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Moravia Morawica
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
4
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
3
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Moravia Morawica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).

Teams vs league

Moravia MorawicaLigaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Average goals in match▼ 2.772.94• 2.92
Both teams scored▼ 46%57%▼ 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 62%56%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▼ 15%25%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▲ 69%61%• 62%
Goal after half-time▲ 77%68%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Moravia Morawica and Siarka Tarnobrzeg play?

Moravia Morawica face Siarka Tarnobrzeg on 24 October 2026 in 3 Liga Group 4. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Moravia Morawica vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

Moravia Morawica score 1.00 goals per game on average and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1.46. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Moravia Morawica's matches and 54% of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's.

What form are Moravia Morawica and Siarka Tarnobrzeg in?

Over the last 5 games Moravia Morawica have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moravia Morawica vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.