Morecambe vs Braintree Town: match statistics
Morecambe displays a much better form than Braintree Town, collecting 6 points in their last 5 matches (wdlww) against just 3 points for the visitors (llwll). The hosts have scored an average of 1.33 goals per home match, whereas Braintree nets only 0.72 goals on the road and fails to score in as many as 50% of their games. The goal difference highlights the quality gap: Morecambe sits at -11 at home, while the visitors are at -24 away, indicating significantly greater defensive issues for Braintree. Additionally, the hosts have won 22% of their home matches, while the visitors have triumphed in only 17% of their away fixtures. The xG statistics also favor Morecambe (1.38 vs 1.43), and their superior ball possession (52% vs 48%) and conversion efficiency (11% vs 6%) suggest match control. All these factors point to a probable home victory, although their weak defense (1.94 goals conceded on average) leaves the door open for an upset.
Morecambe vs Braintree Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morecambe played Braintree Town in National League (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Morecambe: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Braintree Town: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morecambe scores 1.46 and concedes 2.08 goals per match. Braintree Town scores 0.76 and concedes 1.51. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morecambe 54%, Braintree Town 38%. Over 2.5: Morecambe 68%, Braintree Town 43%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Braintree Town has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.38. Morecambe: 11.3 shots per match, Braintree Town: 11.9.
Match halves
Morecambe: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.76. Braintree Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.49.
Goals by minute
Morecambe: 46-60 (15 goals). Braintree Town: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Morecambe displays a much better form than Braintree Town, collecting 6 points in their last 5 matches (wdlww) against just 3 points for the visitors (llwll). The hosts have scored an average of 1.33 goals per home match, whereas Braintree nets only 0.72 goals on the road and fails to score in as many as 50% of their games. The goal difference highlights the quality gap: Morecambe sits at -11 at home, while the visitors are at -24 away, indicating significantly greater defensive issues for Braintree. Additionally, the hosts have won 22% of their home matches, while the visitors have triumphed in only 17% of their away fixtures. The xG statistics also favor Morecambe (1.38 vs 1.43), and their superior ball possession (52% vs 48%) and conversion efficiency (11% vs 6%) suggest match control. All these factors point to a probable home victory, although their weak defense (1.94 goals conceded on average) leaves the door open for an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morecambe | Braintree Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Morecambe is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Morecambe · 0.6 pts / match - Braintree Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morecambe is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Morecambe · 0.76 goals / match - Braintree Town
Braintree Town is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.08 goals / match - Morecambe · 1.51 goals / match - Braintree Town
Morecambe scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Braintree Town keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Braintree Town scores in 51% of matches (19 of 37 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morecambe
Over / Under - Braintree Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morecambe is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Morecambe · 0.95 pts / match - Braintree Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Braintree Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morecambe
Braintree Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Morecambe | Liga | Braintree Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.54 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Morecambe 0 - 0 - 1 Braintree Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Morecambe vs Braintree Town?
The National League match finished Morecambe 1:1 Braintree Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Morecambe vs Braintree Town?
Morecambe score 1.46 goals per game on average and Braintree Town 0.76. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Morecambe's matches and 38% of Braintree Town's.
What form are Morecambe and Braintree Town in?
Over the last 5 games Morecambe have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Braintree Town 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morecambe vs Braintree Town?
The statistical background for Morecambe vs Braintree Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.