Morecambe vs Rochdale: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Morecambe played Rochdale in National League (England). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Morecambe: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rochdale: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Morecambe scores 1.30 and concedes 2.26 goals per match. Rochdale scores 1.95 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Morecambe 52%, Rochdale 40%. Over 2.5: Morecambe 70%, Rochdale 55%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Rochdale has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.34. Morecambe: 10.7 shots per match, Rochdale: 13.4.

Match halves

Morecambe: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.70. Rochdale: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.90.

Goals by minute

Morecambe: 46-60 (7 goals). Rochdale: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
MorecambeRochdale
16Shots11
MorecambeRochdale
7Shots on target6
MorecambeRochdale
1.89xG1.48
MorecambeRochdale
8Corners5
MorecambeRochdale
54Dangerous attacks49
MorecambeRochdale
12Fouls11
MorecambeRochdale
2Cards2
MorecambeRochdale

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.3Goals scored / match1.95
MorecambeRochdale
2.26Goals conceded / match0.65
MorecambeRochdale
55%Average possession58%
MorecambeRochdale
3.78Shots on target / match6.1
MorecambeRochdale

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.65Shots per match13.45
MorecambeRochdale
3.78Shots on target6.1
MorecambeRochdale
12.2%Shot conversion14.5%
MorecambeRochdale
55%Possession58%
MorecambeRochdale
1.34xG for1.77
MorecambeRochdale
1.79xG against1.18
MorecambeRochdale

Shooting quality

Morecambe: BalancedRochdale: Efficient finishing
MorecambeRochdale
Accuracy (shots on target)35%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rochdale is 71% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Morecambe · 2.4 pts / match - Rochdale

Morecambe
WDLLW
Season result split
22% W22% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-13
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Rochdale
LWWWW
Season result split
80% W5% R15% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-1-3
2.45 pts / match · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-1-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rochdale is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.3 goals / match - Morecambe · 1.95 goals / match - Rochdale

Rochdale is 248% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.26 goals / match - Morecambe · 0.65 goals / match - Rochdale

Morecambe scoring profile: mixed

Morecambe scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 60% (12 of 20 matches).

Rochdale scoring profile: very strong

Rochdale scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).

30Goals scored (season)39
MorecambeRochdale
52Goals conceded (season)13
MorecambeRochdale
3.57Average goals in match2.6
MorecambeRochdale
4Goals scored (last 5)9
MorecambeRochdale
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
MorecambeRochdale

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal95%
MorecambeRochdale
39%2 goals60%
MorecambeRochdale
13%3 goals30%
MorecambeRochdale
13%4 goals10%
MorecambeRochdale

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal40%
MorecambeRochdale
65%2 goals15%
MorecambeRochdale
48%3 goals5%
MorecambeRochdale
22%4 goals5%
MorecambeRochdale

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time10%
MorecambeRochdale
17%BTTS in both halves0%
MorecambeRochdale
39%Scored in both halves40%
MorecambeRochdale

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
MorecambeRochdale
26%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
MorecambeRochdale
0%BTTS - last 540%
MorecambeRochdale

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
MorecambeRochdale
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
MorecambeRochdale
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
MorecambeRochdale

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
MorecambeRochdale
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MorecambeRochdale
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
MorecambeRochdale

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rochdale is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / match - Morecambe · 2 pts / match - Rochdale

Morecambe - half-time state
26% leading30% draw43% trailing
Rochdale - half-time state
55% leading35% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per match (1st half)2
MorecambeRochdale
0.61Goals scored (1st half)1.05
MorecambeRochdale
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
MorecambeRochdale
1.61Average goals (1st half)1.25
MorecambeRochdale
43%Clean sheet before half-time80%
MorecambeRochdale
52%No goal before half-time35%
MorecambeRochdale

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per match (2nd half)1.85
MorecambeRochdale
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
MorecambeRochdale
1.26Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
MorecambeRochdale
1.96Average goals (2nd half)1.35
MorecambeRochdale
35%Clean sheet after half-time65%
MorecambeRochdale
43%No goal after half-time30%
MorecambeRochdale

Morecambe - second-half results

26% W26% R48% P
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Rochdale - second-half results

45% W50% R5% P
40
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Morecambe - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.20.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Rochdale - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Morecambe
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
12
31-45
7
9
46-60
5
9
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Rochdale
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
5
1
16-30
10
2
31-45
10
6
46-60
6
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Morecambe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
179%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Rochdale

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
155%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

MorecambeLigaRochdale
Average goals in match 3.572.81 2.60
Both teams scored 52%54% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 70%53% 55%
Clean sheets 17%26% 60%
Goal before half-time 78%70% 75%
Goal after half-time 87%81% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. RochdaleYellow cardJoe Cameron Pritchard
  2. RochdaleGoalIan HendersonAssist: Nathan Broome
  3. RochdaleSubstitutionOn: Jake BurgerOff: Joe Cameron Pritchard
  4. MorecambeGoalJack Nolan
  5. MorecambeYellow cardPaul Lewis
  6. RochdaleSubstitutionOn: Devante Darrius RodneyOff: Connor McBride
  7. RochdaleYellow cardEthan Reid Ebanks-Landell
  8. MorecambeYellow cardLudwig Francillette
  9. MorecambeSubstitutionOn: Abdulrahman SharifOff: George Thomas

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Aaron JacksonMatches officiated: 11
4.82Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 218%Home wins36%Draws45%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Morecambe vs Rochdale?

The National League match finished Morecambe 1:2 Rochdale. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Morecambe vs Rochdale?

Morecambe score 1.30 goals per game on average and Rochdale 1.95. The National League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Morecambe's matches and 40% of Rochdale's.

What form are Morecambe and Rochdale in?

Over the last 5 games Morecambe have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rochdale 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morecambe vs Rochdale?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.