Morecambe vs Truro City: match statistics
Despite their low league position, Morecambe hold a clear advantage as the home side in this fixture. Truro City are in disastrous away form with a 0% win rate on the road this season and a goal difference of -27. The hosts boast significantly better offensive stats, scoring an average of 1.21 goals per home game, while the visitors manage only 0.5 goals per away match and fail to score in a staggering 64% of their away fixtures. Morecambe also hold an advantage in possession (55% vs 43%) and in the quality of chances created (1.39 xG vs 1.04 xG). The recent form of both sides is poor, but Truro City appear particularly helpless in away matches, giving the hosts a genuine chance to break through. A draw remains possible due to Morecambe's defensive issues, however, the statistics clearly favour the home side.
Morecambe vs Truro City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morecambe played Truro City in National League (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Morecambe: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Truro City: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morecambe scores 1.17 and concedes 2.10 goals per match. Truro City scores 0.96 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morecambe 52%, Truro City 32%. Over 2.5: Morecambe 62%, Truro City 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Morecambe has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.23. Morecambe: 11.1 shots per match, Truro City: 8.4.
Match halves
Morecambe: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.66. Truro City: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Morecambe: 46-60 (9 goals). Truro City: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Despite their low league position, Morecambe hold a clear advantage as the home side in this fixture. Truro City are in disastrous away form with a 0% win rate on the road this season and a goal difference of -27. The hosts boast significantly better offensive stats, scoring an average of 1.21 goals per home game, while the visitors manage only 0.5 goals per away match and fail to score in a staggering 64% of their away fixtures. Morecambe also hold an advantage in possession (55% vs 43%) and in the quality of chances created (1.39 xG vs 1.04 xG). The recent form of both sides is poor, but Truro City appear particularly helpless in away matches, giving the hosts a genuine chance to break through. A draw remains possible due to Morecambe's defensive issues, however, the statistics clearly favour the home side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morecambe | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Truro City is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Morecambe · 1.2 pts / match - Truro City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morecambe is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Morecambe · 0.96 goals / match - Truro City
Truro City is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.1 goals / match - Morecambe · 1.79 goals / match - Truro City
Morecambe scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Truro City keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
Truro City scores in 46% of matches (13 of 28 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morecambe
Over / Under - Truro City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morecambe is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Morecambe · 0.82 pts / match - Truro City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Truro City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morecambe
Truro City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Morecambe | Liga | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.28 | 2.84 | • 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Morecambe 0 - 0 - 1 Truro City. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Morecambe vs Truro City?
The National League match finished Morecambe 1:2 Truro City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Morecambe vs Truro City?
Morecambe score 1.17 goals per game on average and Truro City 0.96. The National League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Morecambe's matches and 32% of Truro City's.
What form are Morecambe and Truro City in?
Over the last 5 games Morecambe have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Truro City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morecambe vs Truro City?
The statistical background for Morecambe vs Truro City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.