Moreirense FC vs CD Tondela: match statistics
Moreirense FC presents significantly better home form with a 57% win rate and a +1 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.71 goals per match at home, while CD Tondela nets just 0.75 goals away and concedes an average of 2 goals in away matches. Tondela sits in 17th place with a disastrous away record (63% losses, -10 goal difference) and has failed to score in 50% of their away games. Moreirense also holds the advantage in possession (51% vs 44%) and better shot conversion (16% vs 7%). While the recent form of both teams over the last five matches is similar (1.2 points per match each), Moreirense's clear advantage in home games and Tondela's weakness on the road point to a high probability of a home victory.
Moreirense FC vs CD Tondela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Moreirense FC played CD Tondela in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Moreirense FC: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. CD Tondela: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Moreirense FC scores 1.44 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. CD Tondela scores 0.75 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Moreirense FC 50%, CD Tondela 38%. Over 2.5: Moreirense FC 63%, CD Tondela 63%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
CD Tondela has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.12. Moreirense FC: 9.9 shots per match, CD Tondela: 11.8.
Match halves
Moreirense FC: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.88. CD Tondela: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Moreirense FC: 0-15 (6 goals). CD Tondela: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Moreirense FC presents significantly better home form with a 57% win rate and a +1 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.71 goals per match at home, while CD Tondela nets just 0.75 goals away and concedes an average of 2 goals in away matches. Tondela sits in 17th place with a disastrous away record (63% losses, -10 goal difference) and has failed to score in 50% of their away games. Moreirense also holds the advantage in possession (51% vs 44%) and better shot conversion (16% vs 7%). While the recent form of both teams over the last five matches is similar (1.2 points per match each), Moreirense's clear advantage in home games and Tondela's weakness on the road point to a high probability of a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Moreirense FC | CD Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Moreirense FC is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Moreirense FC · 0.75 goals / match - CD Tondela
Moreirense FC is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Moreirense FC · 1.75 goals / match - CD Tondela
Moreirense FC scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while CD Tondela keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
CD Tondela scores in 44% of matches (7 of 16 matches), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moreirense FC
Over / Under - CD Tondela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Moreirense FC is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Moreirense FC · 0.88 pts / match - CD Tondela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Tondela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Moreirense FC
CD Tondela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Moreirense FC | Liga | CD Tondela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Moreirense FC vs CD Tondela?
The Liga NOS match finished Moreirense FC 1:0 CD Tondela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Moreirense FC vs CD Tondela?
Moreirense FC score 1.44 goals per game on average and CD Tondela 0.75. The Liga NOS average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Moreirense FC's matches and 38% of CD Tondela's.
What form are Moreirense FC and CD Tondela in?
Over the last 5 games Moreirense FC have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and CD Tondela 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moreirense FC vs CD Tondela?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.