Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca: match statistics
Moreirense FC displays a decidedly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a favorable goal difference (-1) compared to Arouca's disastrous away goal difference (-15). The hosts have won half of their home matches this season, while the visitors concede an average of 2.31 goals away and lose 62% of their matches as the away team. Arouca is in terrible form with only 0.6 points per match in their last five games and a series of four defeats in their last five away matches. Moreirense also boasts better xG metrics in home matches (0.95 vs 1.49), indicating greater effectiveness in creating chances. The difference in quality between both teams and the home advantage points to a Moreirense FC victory, although the hosts' recent poor form (1 point in their last 5 matches) and the unpredictability of the Portuguese league justify leaving some margin for a draw or an upset by the visitors.
Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Moreirense FC played FC Arouca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Moreirense FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. FC Arouca: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Moreirense FC scores 1.19 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. FC Arouca scores 1.27 and concedes 2.12. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Moreirense FC 50%, FC Arouca 54%. Over 2.5: Moreirense FC 58%, FC Arouca 69%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
FC Arouca has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.00. Moreirense FC: 8.7 shots per match, FC Arouca: 10.2.
Match halves
Moreirense FC: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77. FC Arouca: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Moreirense FC: 61-75 (8 goals). FC Arouca: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Moreirense FC displays a decidedly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a favorable goal difference (-1) compared to Arouca's disastrous away goal difference (-15). The hosts have won half of their home matches this season, while the visitors concede an average of 2.31 goals away and lose 62% of their matches as the away team. Arouca is in terrible form with only 0.6 points per match in their last five games and a series of four defeats in their last five away matches. Moreirense also boasts better xG metrics in home matches (0.95 vs 1.49), indicating greater effectiveness in creating chances. The difference in quality between both teams and the home advantage points to a Moreirense FC victory, although the hosts' recent poor form (1 point in their last 5 matches) and the unpredictability of the Portuguese league justify leaving some margin for a draw or an upset by the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Moreirense FC | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Moreirense FC is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Moreirense FC · 0.6 pts / match - FC Arouca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Arouca is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Moreirense FC · 1.27 goals / match - FC Arouca
Moreirense FC is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Moreirense FC · 2.12 goals / match - FC Arouca
Moreirense FC scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
FC Arouca scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moreirense FC
Over / Under - FC Arouca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Moreirense FC is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Moreirense FC · 1 pts / match - FC Arouca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Arouca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Moreirense FC
FC Arouca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Moreirense FC | Liga | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Moreirense FC 1 - 0 - 0 FC Arouca. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca?
The Liga NOS match finished Moreirense FC 0:1 FC Arouca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca?
Moreirense FC score 1.19 goals per game on average and FC Arouca 1.27. The Liga NOS average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Moreirense FC's matches and 54% of FC Arouca's.
What form are Moreirense FC and FC Arouca in?
Over the last 5 games Moreirense FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and FC Arouca 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca?
The statistical background for Moreirense FC vs FC Arouca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.