Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente: match statistics
The match promises to be very even, which justifies betting on a draw. Moreirense displays impressive home form with 67% wins and a streak of four consecutive victories at home, but their average xG (1.06) suggests their results may be slightly inflated. Gil Vicente stands out with solid away defense (50% clean sheets, averaging 0.9 goals conceded) and a high draw rate (50% of away matches end in a draw). The visitors have a better away xG balance (1.41 xG For vs 1.22 xG Against), indicating their quality in chance creation. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.8 vs 1.6 PTS), and the identical goal difference in their respective home/away matches (+3) confirms the parity. Considering Gil Vicente's strong defense and tendency to draw away, along with Moreirense's home strength, the most likely scenario is a points share.
Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Moreirense FC played Gil Vicente in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Moreirense FC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Gil Vicente: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Moreirense FC scores 1.30 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Gil Vicente scores 1.45 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Moreirense FC 45%, Gil Vicente 35%. Over 2.5: Moreirense FC 55%, Gil Vicente 35%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Gil Vicente has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.08. Moreirense FC: 9.4 shots per match, Gil Vicente: 14.3.
Match halves
Moreirense FC: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Gil Vicente: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Moreirense FC: 0-15 (6 goals). Gil Vicente: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very even, which justifies betting on a draw. Moreirense displays impressive home form with 67% wins and a streak of four consecutive victories at home, but their average xG (1.06) suggests their results may be slightly inflated. Gil Vicente stands out with solid away defense (50% clean sheets, averaging 0.9 goals conceded) and a high draw rate (50% of away matches end in a draw). The visitors have a better away xG balance (1.41 xG For vs 1.22 xG Against), indicating their quality in chance creation. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.8 vs 1.6 PTS), and the identical goal difference in their respective home/away matches (+3) confirms the parity. Considering Gil Vicente's strong defense and tendency to draw away, along with Moreirense's home strength, the most likely scenario is a points share.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Moreirense FC is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Moreirense FC · 1.6 pts / match - Gil Vicente
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gil Vicente is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Moreirense FC · 1.45 goals / match - Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Moreirense FC · 0.8 goals / match - Gil Vicente
Moreirense FC scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Gil Vicente keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
Gil Vicente scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moreirense FC
Over / Under - Gil Vicente
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gil Vicente is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Moreirense FC · 1.6 pts / match - Gil Vicente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gil Vicente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Moreirense FC
Gil Vicente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Moreirense FC | Liga | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 44% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 55% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 72% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Moreirense FCSubstitutionOn: Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares BondosoOff: Alan de Souza Guimarães
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Moreirense FC 0 - 0 - 1 Gil Vicente. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente?
The Liga NOS match finished Moreirense FC 1:2 Gil Vicente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente?
Moreirense FC score 1.30 goals per game on average and Gil Vicente 1.45. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Moreirense FC's matches and 35% of Gil Vicente's.
What form are Moreirense FC and Gil Vicente in?
Over the last 5 games Moreirense FC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Gil Vicente 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.