Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y PavónData current as of 05 August 2026

Morelia vs Cancún: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Morelia vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Morelia play Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 9 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.

Current form

Morelia: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Cancún: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Morelia scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Cancún scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Morelia 50%, Cancún 0%. Over 2.5: Morelia 50%, Cancún 0%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

Cancún has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.44. Morelia: 12.5 shots per match, Cancún: 15.0.

Match halves

Morelia: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00. Cancún: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Morelia: 46-60 (2 goals). Cancún: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.85)
(3.35)
(3.95)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match0
MoreliaCancún
1.5Goals conceded / match2
MoreliaCancún
55%Average possession50%
MoreliaCancún
5Shots on target / match2
MoreliaCancún

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.5Shots per match15
MoreliaCancún
5Shots on target2
MoreliaCancún
16%Shot conversion0%
MoreliaCancún
55%Possession50%
MoreliaCancún
1.44xG for1.63
MoreliaCancún
1.27xG against1.31
MoreliaCancún

Shooting quality

Morelia: Efficient finishingCancún: Attacking
MoreliaCancún
Accuracy (shots on target)40%13%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Morelia
WL
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Cancún
L
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Morelia is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Morelia · 2 goals / match - Cancún

Morelia scoring profile: very strong

Morelia scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

Cancún scoring profile: mixed

Cancún scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

4Goals scored (season)0
MoreliaCancún
3Goals conceded (season)2
MoreliaCancún
3.5Average goals in match2
MoreliaCancún
4Goals scored (last 5)0
MoreliaCancún
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
MoreliaCancún

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal0%
MoreliaCancún
50%2 goals0%
MoreliaCancún
50%3 goals0%
MoreliaCancún
50%4 goals0%
MoreliaCancún

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
MoreliaCancún
50%2 goals100%
MoreliaCancún
0%3 goals0%
MoreliaCancún
0%4 goals0%
MoreliaCancún

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
MoreliaCancún
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MoreliaCancún
0%Scored in both halves0%
MoreliaCancún

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
MoreliaCancún
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MoreliaCancún
50%BTTS - last 50%
MoreliaCancún

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
MoreliaCancún
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
MoreliaCancún
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MoreliaCancún

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time0%
MoreliaCancún
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
MoreliaCancún
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MoreliaCancún

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Morelia - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Cancún - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)0
MoreliaCancún
0Goals scored (1st half)0
MoreliaCancún
1Goals conceded (1st half)2
MoreliaCancún
1Average goals (1st half)2
MoreliaCancún
50%Clean sheet before half-time0%
MoreliaCancún
100%No goal before half-time100%
MoreliaCancún

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1
MoreliaCancún
2Goals scored (2nd half)0
MoreliaCancún
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0
MoreliaCancún
2.5Average goals (2nd half)0
MoreliaCancún
50%Clean sheet after half-time100%
MoreliaCancún
50%No goal after half-time100%
MoreliaCancún

Morelia - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cancún - second-half results

0% W100% R0% P
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-2.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Morelia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.501.50
Goals scored / match0.02.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.5
Average goals in match1.02.5
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Cancún - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match2.00.0
Average goals in match2.00.0
1 goal100%0%
2 goals100%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Morelia
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Cancún
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
50%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 2 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Morelia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Cancún

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-2.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

MoreliaLigaCancún
Average goals in match 3.502.60 2.00
Both teams scored 50%40% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%40% 0%
Clean sheets 0%37% 0%
Goal before half-time 50%60% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%60% 0%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
40%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Morelia 1 - 1 - 2 Cancún. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

CA Monarcas Morelia
0 : 1
Cancún FC
Cancún FC
1 : 1
CA Monarcas Morelia
CA Monarcas Morelia
3 : 1
Cancún FC
Cancún FC
5 : 0
CA Monarcas Morelia

FAQ

When do Morelia and Cancún play?

Morelia face Cancún on 9 August 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Cancún?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Morelia won 1, Cancún won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Cancún?

Morelia score 2.00 goals per game on average and Cancún 0.00. The Ascenso MX average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Morelia's matches and 0% of Cancún's.

What form are Morelia and Cancún in?

Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Cancún 0-0-1 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Cancún?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Morelia vs Cancún: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.