Morelia vs Irapuato: match statistics
Morelia vs Irapuato: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morelia played Irapuato in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Morelia: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Irapuato: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 1.43 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Irapuato scores 1.63 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 50%, Irapuato 57%. Over 2.5: Morelia 57%, Irapuato 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Morelia has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.57. Morelia: 13.5 shots per match, Irapuato: 12.6.
Match halves
Morelia: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Irapuato: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 76-90+ (12 goals). Irapuato: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Morelia possess a clear home statistical advantage: higher xG (1.89 vs 1.28) and better home win rate (57%). Irapuato show weaker away metrics: fewer shots and SOT (10.13/3.8) and higher away GA (1.6). Recent form confirms hosts' edge — Morelia PPG 1.8 in last 5 (wwlwl) vs Irapuato PPG 0.8 with poorer performances. Defensive difference (home CS 43% vs away CS 33%) and conversion suggest Morelia control the game. Based on these data a home win is more likely, with lower probability of draw or away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
High BTTS probability: Morelia season goals 2.27 (xG 1.84) while Irapuato, despite lower season avg (1.0), show recent improvement (last5 GF 10, last5 xG_for 1.72). Season BTTS: Morelia 60%, Irapuato 53%, league 55% indicate frequent mutual goals. Low CS rates (27% and 33%) and high home over2.5 (73%) increase two-way scoring chances. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Morelia has a clearly stronger attack (2.27 avg goals, xG 1.84) and generates more shots and chances, suggesting an edge in chance creation. Irapuato can also score (10 goals in last 5) and has weaker defense, increasing BTTS and total goals. Season stats show high Over1.5 rates for both (Morelia 87%, Irapuato 67%) and league avg ~2.91. Considering xG, shot conversion and form, the most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a draw at Half-Time and a Morelia win at Full-Time (HT/FT X/1). Morelia hold clear advantages in xG, shots and conversion rates, plus better PPG and home form, favoring a turnaround after the break. The first half should be low-scoring — hosts drew at HT in 53% of matches and have low HT goal averages, hence high draw probability at Half-Time. In the second half Morelia show strong scoring metrics after the break (high AVG_2hg_home and good second-half efficiency), increasing likelihood of a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Morelia is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Morelia · 0.8 pts / match - Irapuato
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Morelia · 1.63 goals / match - Irapuato
Morelia is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Morelia · 1.47 goals / match - Irapuato
Morelia scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Irapuato scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - Irapuato
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Morelia · 1.07 pts / match - Irapuato
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morelia
Irapuato
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Morelia 1 - 2 - 0 Irapuato. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Morelia vs Irapuato?
The Ascenso MX match finished Morelia 2:0 Irapuato. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Irapuato?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Morelia won 1, Irapuato won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Irapuato?
Morelia score 1.43 goals per game on average and Irapuato 1.63. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Morelia's matches and 57% of Irapuato's.
What form are Morelia and Irapuato in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Irapuato 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Irapuato?
The statistical background for Morelia vs Irapuato — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.