Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
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Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morelia play Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.
Current form
Morelia: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 2.13 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.38 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 63%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 75%. Over 2.5: Morelia 63%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 75%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Morelia has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.54. Morelia: 13.4 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.0.
Match halves
Morelia: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.50. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 46-60 (6 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Morelia is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Morelia · 2.2 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Morelia · 2.38 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Morelia is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Morelia · 1.25 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Morelia scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Morelia · 2.38 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 63%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morelia
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.25 | 3.28 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Morelia 0 - 0 - 2 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Morelia and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara play?
Morelia face Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara on 20 September 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Morelia won 0, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Morelia score 2.13 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2.38. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Morelia's matches and 75% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Morelia and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Morelia vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.