Morelia vs Tlaxcala: match statistics
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Morelia vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morelia play Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 4 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.
Current form
Morelia: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Tlaxcala: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 2.00 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.80 and concedes 2.20. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 60%, Tlaxcala 80%. Over 2.5: Morelia 60%, Tlaxcala 80%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Morelia has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.38. Morelia: 13.9 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 10.7.
Match halves
Morelia: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.40. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 46-60 (8 goals). Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Morelia is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Morelia · 2 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morelia is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Morelia · 1.8 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Morelia is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Morelia · 2.2 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Morelia scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Tlaxcala scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Morelia · 1.2 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morelia
Tlaxcala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.10 | 3.19 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Morelia 1 - 1 - 0 Tlaxcala. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Morelia and Tlaxcala play?
Morelia face Tlaxcala on 4 October 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Tlaxcala?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Morelia won 1, Tlaxcala won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
Morelia score 2.00 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.80. The Ascenso MX average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Morelia's matches and 80% of Tlaxcala's.
What form are Morelia and Tlaxcala in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Tlaxcala 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
The statistical background for Morelia vs Tlaxcala — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.