Moss vs Lyn: match statistics
Moss vs Lyn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Moss played Lyn in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Moss: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match. Lyn: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Moss scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Lyn scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Moss 67%, Lyn 33%. Over 2.5: Moss 67%, Lyn 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 80%.
xG, shots and style
Moss has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.69. Moss: 16.3 shots per match, Lyn: 13.0.
Match halves
Moss: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Lyn: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Moss: 61-75 (2 goals). Lyn: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.72 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 80%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Moss is the favorite: in the last 5 matches they have won 3 times and average 1.8 points per game, while Lyn has won only 1 of their five fixtures and averages 0.6 points per game. At home Moss has 100% wins and 100% clean sheets, averaging 1.0 goal per match and conceding none in home games, with average xG 1.85 versus xG against 1.11. Lyn as the away side shows higher offensive output — averaging 3.0 goals per match, 11 shots on target and 19% shot conversion — but in the last 5 matches they have conceded 12 goals (2.4 per game) and have average xG against of 2.27, indicating defensive issues. Both teams have 5 goals scored this season, but Moss has conceded 4 compared to Lyn’s 6 conceded; form and xG metrics favor the hosts, therefore I predict a Moss victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Moss have had BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches (4/5), scoring 8 goals (1.6 avg) and conceding 7 (1.4), indicating the hosts tend to be involved in goal exchanges. Lyn average 3.0 goals per game this season, have xG 2.14 and 11 shots on target per match, and despite a seasonal average of 0.0 goals conceded and 100% clean sheets, they have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 avg), so their recent defensive form looks less stable. Looking at xG, Moss have xG_for 1.47 versus Lyn xG_against 2.27, while Lyn have xG_for 2.14 versus Moss xG_against 1.88 — both pairs suggest opponents are creating sufficient chances to score. Additionally, the league records BTTS in 55% of matches and averages 3.82 goals per game, which combined with these data increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Based on this, I select BTTS - Yes as the stronger signal (70% vs 30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining attack and defense values yields a combined expected xG of 3.88: Moss 1.87 xG ((1.47 + 2.27)/2) and Lyn 2.01 xG ((2.14 + 1.88)/2). Lyn averages 3.0 goals and 11.0 shots on target per match, while Moss records 1.0 goals and 3.0 shots on target; additionally Moss concedes 3.0 goals this season and Lyn has 0.0 conceded, indicating an offensive edge for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Moss scored 8 goals (1.6 per match), Lyn 7 goals (1.4 per match), and both teams have 80% of matches >2.5 in form, with the league average at 3.82 and 82% of matches >2.5. On this basis the strongest signal is Over 2.5: expected 3.88 goals exceeds the 2.5 line, and historical Over 2.5 rates (80% form and 82% league) confirm a high probability. Therefore I recommend the Over side at 2.5 as the best pick, with an almost certain Over 1.5 (90%) and a meaningful probability of Over 3.5 (54%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics strongly favor Lyn: the visitors average 3.0 goals per match versus Moss’s 1.0, and Moss concedes an average of 3.0 goals per match while Lyn concedes 0.0. At Half-Time Lyn led in 100% of cases (1 of 1) and average 3.0 goals before the break, whereas Moss averages 0.5 goals and concedes 1.0 by half-time, suggesting an early lead for the visitors. Offensively Lyn generates 2.14 xG per game compared to Moss’s 1.47, averages 16.0 shots with 11.0 on target versus Moss’s 11.5 shots and 3.0 on target, and finishing efficiency is 19% vs 9%. Additionally, Moss statistically concedes an average of 2.0 goals after the break, which reduces the hosts’ chance of a second-half turnaround. Although Moss has a 60% win rate in the last 5 matches versus Lyn’s 20%, the dominant differences in half-time leads (100% vs 0%), xG (2.14 vs 1.47) and shots on target (11.0 vs 3.0) indicate the most likely scenario is HT/FT 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Moss | Lyn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Moss is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Moss · 1 pts / match - Lyn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Moss is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Moss · 2 goals / match - Lyn
Moss scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Lyn keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Lyn scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moss
Over / Under - Lyn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lyn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 67% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Moss
Lyn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Moss | Liga | Lyn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.72 | • 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 88% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Moss 1 - 0 - 1 Lyn. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Moss vs Lyn?
The First Division match finished Moss 2:1 Lyn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Moss and Lyn?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Moss won 1, Lyn won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Moss vs Lyn?
Moss score 1.67 goals per game on average and Lyn 1.67. The First Division average is 3.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 80% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Moss's matches and 33% of Lyn's.
What form are Moss and Lyn in?
Over the last 5 games Moss have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lyn 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moss vs Lyn?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Moss vs Lyn: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.