Moss vs Strømsgodset: match statistics
Moss vs Strømsgodset: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Moss played Strømsgodset in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 20 May 2026. Venue: Melløs Stadion. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Moss: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Strømsgodset: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Moss scores 1.71 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Strømsgodset scores 2.71 and concedes 1.43. League average: 3.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Moss 71%, Strømsgodset 57%. Over 2.5: Moss 86%, Strømsgodset 86%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Strømsgodset has higher xG: 2.26 vs 1.73. Moss: 14.7 shots per match, Strømsgodset: 20.4.
Match halves
Moss: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.43. Strømsgodset: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 2.57.
Goals by minute
Moss: 76-90+ (5 goals). Strømsgodset: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.55 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Strømsgodset is the favorite based on standings and records: they sit 2nd in the table with 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss this season, while Moss are 7th with 4 wins and 3 losses. The form gap is clear — in the last 5 matches Strømsgodset have 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 15 goals (3.0 per match) and averaging 2.6 points per match, whereas Moss have 2 wins, 3 losses, 8 goals (1.6 per match) and 1.2 points per match. In chance creation the visitors also have the edge: on average 7 shots on target and 16 shots per away match with xG 1.88 versus the hosts' 4.67 shots on target, 14.67 shots and xG 1.62. Defensively Moss concede slightly less at home statistically (1.33 goals per match vs 1.67 for Strømsgodset away), but Moss have conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match), which undermines their current resilience. Considering league position (2 vs 7), the offensive advantage (3.0 vs 1.6 goals in the last 5) and superior xG, I forecast a Strømsgodset win and assign them 62% probability, draw 20% and Moss win 18%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) appears more likely: the league BTTS rate is 57%, and the teams show seasonal rates of 50% (Moss) and 67% (Strømsgodset), indicating an overall tendency above half of matches. xG and offensive arguments are strong — Moss records xG 2.54 in home games, while Strømsgodset concedes on average 1.45 xG away, and Strømsgodset simultaneously has xG 1.88 away versus 1.17 xG conceded by Moss at home; this suggests realistic chances for goals from both sides. Moss averages 23.75 shots and 8 on target per game, Strømsgodset 16 shots and 7 on target; with conversion rates of 14% and 13% both teams have the potential to turn chances into goals. Recent 5-match trends reinforce BTTS — Moss had BTTS in 80% of their last 5 and conceded on average 2.4 goals per game (goal balance 8:12), while Strømsgodset scored on average 3.0 and conceded 1.0 in their last 5 (balance 15:5). Although Moss has 50% clean sheets at home this season, considering xG, chance creation and seasonal and recent trends, I estimate BTTS at 70% vs 30% and pick "Yes" (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total of about 3.53 goals: Moss’s attacking xG is 2.54 versus Strømsgodset’s defensive xG of 1.45, and Strømsgodset’s attacking xG is 1.88 against Moss’s defensive xG of 1.17, which yields a forecast of ~2.00 goals for Moss and ~1.53 for Strømsgodset (total 3.53). The strongest signal for Over 1.5 is that the seasonal percentage of matches with at least 2 goals is 100% for both teams (100% vs 100%) and the league averages 3.55 goals per match; I assign this scenario a 97% probability. Over 2.5 also looks credible: Moss at home has season over 2.5 = 100%, Strømsgodset away = 67%, league = 73%, and in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 occurred for Moss in 100% and for Strømsgodset in 80%, leading me to estimate ~78% for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is less certain – season over 3.5 is 25% for Moss and 33% for Strømsgodset (average ~29%) – but the combined xG = 3.53 and goals in the last 5 games (8 for Moss, 15 for Strømsgodset) raise this probability to around 47%, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Moss has a 100% home win rate and averages 3.25 goals scored at home with 1.25 conceded, while Strømsgodset average 2.0 goals away and concede 1.67; the home advantage is further supported by xG of 2.54 versus 1.88 and a higher shot volume (23.75 vs 16.0). At half-time Moss led in 25% of their matches and were level in 50%, whereas Strømsgodset were level at the break in 100% of cases, which statistically makes a draw the most likely state after 45 minutes. In the second half Moss average 3.0 goals (Strømsgodset 2.0) and have a strong 61–75 minute window in which the home side scored 8 goals, so hosts are more often involved in turnarounds in the second half. Additionally Moss record BTTS in 50% of home matches and have a slightly higher shot conversion (14% vs 13%), indicating an ability to maintain and increase a lead after the break; therefore the strongest signal from the data is Half-Time/Full-Time draw at the break and home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Moss | Strømsgodset | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Strømsgodset is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Moss · 2.6 pts / match - Strømsgodset
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Strømsgodset is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Moss · 2.71 goals / match - Strømsgodset
Strømsgodset is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Moss · 1.43 goals / match - Strømsgodset
Moss scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Strømsgodset keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Strømsgodset scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moss
Over / Under - Strømsgodset
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Strømsgodset is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Moss · 1.14 pts / match - Strømsgodset
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Strømsgodset - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +10 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Moss
Strømsgodset
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Moss | Liga | Strømsgodset | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.71 | 3.55 | ▲ 4.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Moss vs Strømsgodset?
The First Division match finished Moss 1:1 Strømsgodset. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Moss vs Strømsgodset?
Moss score 1.71 goals per game on average and Strømsgodset 2.71. The First Division average is 3.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Moss's matches and 57% of Strømsgodset's.
What form are Moss and Strømsgodset in?
Over the last 5 games Moss have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Strømsgodset 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moss vs Strømsgodset?
The statistical background for Moss vs Strømsgodset — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.