Mosta vs Marsaxlokk: match statistics
Marsaxlokk presents significantly better form and results this season. The visitors have secured 11 wins with only 7 losses, while Mosta can boast only 4 wins and as many as 15 defeats. Form over the last five matches also favors the visitors—1.6 PPG compared to just 0.2 PPG for the hosts. Mosta loses 50% of home games and scores an average of only 1.17 goals, which, combined with failing to score in 42% of matches, indicates serious offensive problems. Marsaxlokk has a better away goal difference (-2 vs -7), a higher away win percentage (36%), and a solid defense with 36% clean sheets. All key statistics—from possession and shot efficiency to expected goals—point to an advantage for the visitors, making a Marsaxlokk victory the most likely scenario.
Mosta vs Marsaxlokk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mosta played Marsaxlokk in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mosta: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Marsaxlokk: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mosta scores 0.88 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Marsaxlokk scores 1.17 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mosta 38%, Marsaxlokk 50%. Over 2.5: Mosta 42%, Marsaxlokk 46%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Marsaxlokk has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.07. Mosta: 7.2 shots per match, Marsaxlokk: 7.7.
Match halves
Mosta: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.54. Marsaxlokk: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Mosta: 46-60 (6 goals). Marsaxlokk: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marsaxlokk presents significantly better form and results this season. The visitors have secured 11 wins with only 7 losses, while Mosta can boast only 4 wins and as many as 15 defeats. Form over the last five matches also favors the visitors—1.6 PPG compared to just 0.2 PPG for the hosts. Mosta loses 50% of home games and scores an average of only 1.17 goals, which, combined with failing to score in 42% of matches, indicates serious offensive problems. Marsaxlokk has a better away goal difference (-2 vs -7), a higher away win percentage (36%), and a solid defense with 36% clean sheets. All key statistics—from possession and shot efficiency to expected goals—point to an advantage for the visitors, making a Marsaxlokk victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mosta | Marsaxlokk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marsaxlokk is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Mosta · 1.6 pts / match - Marsaxlokk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsaxlokk is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Mosta · 1.17 goals / match - Marsaxlokk
Marsaxlokk is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Mosta · 1.04 goals / match - Marsaxlokk
Mosta scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Marsaxlokk keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
Marsaxlokk scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mosta
Over / Under - Marsaxlokk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marsaxlokk is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Mosta · 1.29 pts / match - Marsaxlokk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mosta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Marsaxlokk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mosta | Liga | Marsaxlokk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mosta 0 - 0 - 1 Marsaxlokk. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mosta vs Marsaxlokk?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Mosta 1:2 Marsaxlokk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mosta vs Marsaxlokk?
Mosta score 0.88 goals per game on average and Marsaxlokk 1.17. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Mosta's matches and 50% of Marsaxlokk's.
What form are Mosta and Marsaxlokk in?
Over the last 5 games Mosta have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Marsaxlokk 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mosta vs Marsaxlokk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.