Malta - Maltese Premier LeagueData current as of 17 October 2026

Mosta vs Valletta: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mosta vs Valletta: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mosta play Valletta in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match date is 21 October 2026.

Current form

Mosta: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Valletta: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mosta scores 1.43 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Valletta scores 2.43 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.70 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mosta 71%, Valletta 43%. Over 2.5: Mosta 43%, Valletta 71%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Valletta has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.07. Mosta: 7.9 shots per match, Valletta: 10.3.

Match halves

Mosta: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.71. Valletta: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.71.

Goals by minute

Mosta: 76-90+ (3 goals). Valletta: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Maltese Premier League: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.43Goals scored / match2.43
MostaValletta
1.14Goals conceded / match0.86
MostaValletta
49%Average possession52%
MostaValletta
3.71Shots on target / match5.29
MostaValletta

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.86Shots per match10.29
MostaValletta
3.71Shots on target5.29
MostaValletta
18.2%Shot conversion23.6%
MostaValletta
49%Possession52%
MostaValletta
1.07xG for1.45
MostaValletta
1.56xG against0.96
MostaValletta

Shooting quality

Mosta: Efficient finishingValletta: Efficient finishing
MostaValletta
Accuracy (shots on target)47%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.46

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Valletta is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Mosta · 2 pts / match - Valletta

Mosta
WDLDD
Season result split
43% W43% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-1
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Valletta
LWDWW
Season result split
71% W14% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-1
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 away
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valletta is 70% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Mosta · 2.43 goals / match - Valletta

Valletta is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Mosta · 0.86 goals / match - Valletta

Mosta scoring profile: strong

Mosta scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Valletta keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).

Valletta scoring profile: very strong

Valletta scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

10Goals scored (season)17
MostaValletta
8Goals conceded (season)6
MostaValletta
2.57Average goals in match3.29
MostaValletta
6Goals scored (last 5)10
MostaValletta
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
MostaValletta

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
MostaValletta
43%2 goals86%
MostaValletta
0%3 goals43%
MostaValletta
0%4 goals14%
MostaValletta

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal43%
MostaValletta
29%2 goals43%
MostaValletta
14%3 goals0%
MostaValletta
0%4 goals0%
MostaValletta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
MostaValletta
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MostaValletta
14%Scored in both halves71%
MostaValletta

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
MostaValletta
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
MostaValletta
80%BTTS - last 540%
MostaValletta

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
MostaValletta
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
MostaValletta
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
MostaValletta

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MostaValletta
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
MostaValletta
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
MostaValletta

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mosta is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.57 pts / match - Mosta · 1.43 pts / match - Valletta

Mosta - half-time state
43% leading29% draw29% trailing
Valletta - half-time state
43% leading14% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.57Points per match (1st half)1.43
MostaValletta
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.71
MostaValletta
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
MostaValletta
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.57
MostaValletta
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
MostaValletta
43%No goal before half-time29%
MostaValletta

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)3
MostaValletta
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1.71
MostaValletta
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0
MostaValletta
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.71
MostaValletta
43%Clean sheet after half-time100%
MostaValletta
43%No goal after half-time0%
MostaValletta

Mosta - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Valletta - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.9

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mosta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Valletta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.803.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mosta
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Valletta
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
5
0
61-75
7
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.93
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+71%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mosta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Valletta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.98
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).

Teams vs league

MostaLigaValletta
Average goals in match▼ 2.572.70▲ 3.29
Both teams scored▲ 71%53%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%49%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▲ 29%26%▲ 57%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%79%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%86%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Mosta 0 - 0 - 2 Valletta. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Mosta FC
0 : 5
Valletta FC
Valletta FC
4 : 1
Mosta FC

FAQ

When do Mosta and Valletta play?

Mosta face Valletta on 21 October 2026 in Maltese Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mosta and Valletta?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mosta won 0, Valletta won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mosta vs Valletta?

Mosta score 1.43 goals per game on average and Valletta 2.43. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Mosta's matches and 43% of Valletta's.

What form are Mosta and Valletta in?

Over the last 5 games Mosta have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Valletta 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mosta vs Valletta?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mosta vs Valletta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.