Motherwell vs Hibernian: match statistics
Motherwell are displaying impressive home form with a 67% win rate and just a 7% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts boast an excellent home defense, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 73% of their home matches, which is a significant advantage. Hibernian perform considerably worse in away matches, with only 33% wins, 33% draws, and as much as 33% losses, while conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors Motherwell: 1.76 xG for the hosts in home matches versus 1.3 xG for Hibernian in away matches. Although both teams' recent form is similar, Motherwell's home advantage and the visitors' defensive frailty make a home win the most probable scenario, with a draw possible considering Hibernian's solid form in their last five matches.
Motherwell vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Motherwell played Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Motherwell: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Hibernian: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Motherwell scores 1.63 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Hibernian scores 1.60 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Motherwell 43%, Hibernian 53%. Over 2.5: Motherwell 37%, Hibernian 53%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Motherwell has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.55. Motherwell: 13.7 shots per match, Hibernian: 13.4.
Match halves
Motherwell: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.90. Hibernian: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Motherwell: 16-30 (11 goals). Hibernian: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Motherwell are displaying impressive home form with a 67% win rate and just a 7% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts boast an excellent home defense, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 73% of their home matches, which is a significant advantage. Hibernian perform considerably worse in away matches, with only 33% wins, 33% draws, and as much as 33% losses, while conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors Motherwell: 1.76 xG for the hosts in home matches versus 1.3 xG for Hibernian in away matches. Although both teams' recent form is similar, Motherwell's home advantage and the visitors' defensive frailty make a home win the most probable scenario, with a draw possible considering Hibernian's solid form in their last five matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Motherwell | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Motherwell is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Motherwell · 1.6 pts / match - Hibernian
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Motherwell is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Motherwell · 1.17 goals / match - Hibernian
Motherwell scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Hibernian scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Motherwell keeps a clean sheet in 53% (16 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Motherwell
Over / Under - Hibernian
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Motherwell is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Motherwell · 1.6 pts / match - Hibernian
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Motherwell - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Motherwell
Hibernian
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Motherwell | Liga | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Motherwell 1 - 1 - 0 Hibernian. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Motherwell vs Hibernian?
The Premiership match finished Motherwell 0:0 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Hibernian?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Motherwell won 1, Hibernian won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Motherwell vs Hibernian?
Motherwell score 1.63 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.60. The Premiership average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Motherwell's matches and 53% of Hibernian's.
What form are Motherwell and Hibernian in?
Over the last 5 games Motherwell have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Hibernian 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motherwell vs Hibernian?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Motherwell vs Hibernian: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.