Motherwell vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Motherwell presents decidedly better form and home statistics, occupying 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 64% won matches at home. The hosts have an excellent defense at their own stadium, conceding an average of only 0.45 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 73% of meetings. Kilmarnock performs very poorly away, winning just 9% of matches and conceding an average of 1.82 goals per match, with a negative goal difference of -8. The guests' form is catastrophic - just 0.4 points per match in the last five meetings, without a victory. The difference in possession quality (58% vs 36%), scoring effectiveness, and xG indicators (1.63 vs 1.13) clearly favors Motherwell. Taking into account all statistical parameters, a victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Motherwell played Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Motherwell: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kilmarnock: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Motherwell scores 1.41 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 0.91 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Motherwell 45%, Kilmarnock 59%. Over 2.5: Motherwell 32%, Kilmarnock 59%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Motherwell has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.22. Motherwell: 12.3 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 10.4.
Match halves
Motherwell: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Motherwell: 16-30 (7 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Motherwell presents decidedly better form and home statistics, occupying 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 64% won matches at home. The hosts have an excellent defense at their own stadium, conceding an average of only 0.45 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 73% of meetings. Kilmarnock performs very poorly away, winning just 9% of matches and conceding an average of 1.82 goals per match, with a negative goal difference of -8. The guests' form is catastrophic - just 0.4 points per match in the last five meetings, without a victory. The difference in possession quality (58% vs 36%), scoring effectiveness, and xG indicators (1.63 vs 1.13) clearly favors Motherwell. Taking into account all statistical parameters, a victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Motherwell | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Motherwell is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Motherwell · 0.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Motherwell is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Motherwell · 0.91 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Motherwell is 130% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Motherwell · 1.77 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Motherwell scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Kilmarnock scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Motherwell keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Motherwell
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Motherwell is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Motherwell · 1.14 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Motherwell - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Motherwell | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 47% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Motherwell 1 - 1 - 0 Kilmarnock. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Motherwell 4:0 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Kilmarnock?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Motherwell won 1, Kilmarnock won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Motherwell score 1.41 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 0.91. The Premiership average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Motherwell's matches and 59% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Motherwell and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Motherwell have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kilmarnock 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
The statistical background for Motherwell vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.