Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which speaks for a draw. Motor Lublin has a very high draw rate at home (55%), which is a key factor in this prediction. Korona Kielce also frequently draws on the road (36%) and has a better goal difference (+2 vs +1), but Motor has the home field advantage and a better average ball possession (51% vs 44%). Both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG) and similar offensive efficiency. Taking into account Motor's tendency to draw home matches and the balanced disposition of both teams, the most likely result is a split of points, although Motor has a slight advantage as the host.
Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Motor Lublin played Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Motor Lublin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Korona Kielce: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Motor Lublin scores 1.36 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Korona Kielce scores 1.23 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Motor Lublin 68%, Korona Kielce 50%. Over 2.5: Motor Lublin 55%, Korona Kielce 41%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Korona Kielce has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.45. Motor Lublin: 12.1 shots per match, Korona Kielce: 14.4.
Match halves
Motor Lublin: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.59. Korona Kielce: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Motor Lublin: 46-60 (11 goals). Korona Kielce: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which speaks for a draw. Motor Lublin has a very high draw rate at home (55%), which is a key factor in this prediction. Korona Kielce also frequently draws on the road (36%) and has a better goal difference (+2 vs +1), but Motor has the home field advantage and a better average ball possession (51% vs 44%). Both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG) and similar offensive efficiency. Taking into account Motor's tendency to draw home matches and the balanced disposition of both teams, the most likely result is a split of points, although Motor has a slight advantage as the host.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Motor Lublin | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Motor Lublin is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Motor Lublin · 1.23 goals / match - Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Motor Lublin · 1.09 goals / match - Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Korona Kielce scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Motor Lublin keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Motor Lublin
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Motor Lublin · 1.41 pts / match - Korona Kielce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Motor Lublin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Motor Lublin | Liga | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Motor Lublin 0 - 0 - 1 Korona Kielce. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Motor Lublin 2:0 Korona Kielce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce?
Motor Lublin score 1.36 goals per game on average and Korona Kielce 1.23. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Motor Lublin's matches and 50% of Korona Kielce's.
What form are Motor Lublin and Korona Kielce in?
Over the last 5 games Motor Lublin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Korona Kielce 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.